Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs - 10/17/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Thursday, October 17, 2019 at 7:20 PM (Empower Field at Mile High)
Kansas City Chiefs -3.0
The Kansas City Chiefs hit the road for an AFC West matchup with the Denver Broncos. The Chiefs enter this game with a 4-2 record, having lost their last two games. Most recently the Chiefs are coming off a 31-24 loss to the Houston Texans. The Broncos enter this contest with a 2-4 record, having won their last 2 games. Both teams have been going in the opposite direction here in the last two weeks.
Patrick Mahomes was 19/35 for 273 yds, while throwing 3 TD’s and 1 pick. Running back LeSean McCoy led the backfield with 44 yds on 8 carries. Tyreek Hill did his part in the game, he reeled in 5 receptions for 80 yds and 2 touchdowns. The Chiefs were out gained offensively 472 to 309. The Chiefs were able to force 3 turnovers defensively.
The Broncos are coming off a win where they shut out the Titans 16-0. Broncos quarterback Joe Flacco was 18/28 for 177 yds and had 1 INT. Phillip Lindsay out worked fellow running back in Royce Freeman on the day. Lindsay had 15 carries for 70 yds and a touchdown, while Freeman had 11 carries on 34 yds. The Broncos defensively stood tall on the day. Denver’s defense held the Titans to a 2-14 conversion rate on third down and forced 3 turnovers. Broncos kicker Brandon McManus was 3 for 3 on field goals with a long of 53 yds.
While the over has had success in cashing tickets during Chiefs games, the Broncos over has just been pitiful over the last year and a half. The Broncos defense has looked good the last two weeks, giving up a total of 13 points. While I do think the Chiefs will put up a decent amount of points, I’m just not that impressed with the Broncos offense. I am going to take the under in this game. Final score prediction, Chiefs win 28-17 and the total goes under.
The Chiefs are 7-3-1 ATS as an away team since 2018. The over is 9-2 for the Chiefs since 2018 as an away team. The over is 15-8-1 in all games since 2018 for the Chiefs. The Broncos are 3-2 ATS as a home underdog and 9-12-1 in all games since 2018. The over is 5-16-1 in all games and 2-13-1 in conference games since 2018 for the Broncos.