Detroit Lions vs. Kansas City Chiefs - 9/29/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Detroit Lions vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Sunday, September 29, 2019 at 12:00 PM (Ford Field )
The Line: Detroit Lions +6 -- Over/Under: 54
The Kansas City Chiefs and Detroit Lions meet Sunday in NFL action at Ford Field.
The Kansas City Chiefs look for a third road victory to start 4-0 for a third straight season. The Kansas City Chiefs have won seven of their last 10 road games. Patrick Mahomes is completing 71.9 percent of his passes for 1,195 yards, 10 touchdowns and zero interceptions. Mahomes has two or more touchdown passes in each of his last 14 games. Sam Watkins and Travis Kelce have combined for 595 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Demarcus Robinson has 10 receptions. The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 94.7 yards per contest, and LeSean McCoy leads the way with 158 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 21.3 points and 395.7 yards per game. Kendall Fuller leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 21 tackles, Emmanuel Ogbah has 2.5 sacks and Frank Clark has one interception.
The Detroit Lions look for a statement victory to build on their 2-0-1 record. The Detroit Lions have split their last eight home games. Matthew Stafford is completing 62.6 percent of his passes for 831 yards, six touchdowns and two interceptions. Stafford has two or more touchdown passes in four of his last 11 games. Marvin Jones Jr. and Kenny Golladay have combined for 376 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Danny Amendola has 11 receptions. The Detroit Lions ground game is averaging 98.7 yards per contest, and Kerryon Johnson leads the way with 126 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Detroit is allowing 20.3 points and 394.7 yards per game. Tracy Walker leads the Detroit Lions with 24 tackles, Devon Kennard has three sacks and Darius Slay has one interception.
The Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf, 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 road games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Lions are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings and the favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. The under is 8-2 in Lions last 10 games overall. The over is 8-3 in Chiefs last 11 games overall.
The Kansas City Chiefs have covered four of their last five games as a road favorite of at least three points. The Detroit Lions have failed to cover six of their last eight games as a home underdog of at least three points. The Lions have been one of the bigger surprises up to this point and you know they'll be out to prove this start isn't a fluke against one of the top Super Bowl contenders. The problem I have betting against the Chiefs is that they're too damn explosive offensively. As long as the line isn't crazy out of control, you expect the Chiefs to cover the number due to them consistently finding the end zone. As well as the Lions may have played up to this point, I don't trust them offensively to go toe-to-toe with a Chiefs team that's scary every time they touch the football.