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Green Bay Packers vs. Atlanta Falcons - 12/9/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Atlanta Falcons (4-8) at Green Bay Packers (4-7-1)
Date & Time Sunday December 9, 2018, 1:00 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: Green Bay Packers -6 -- Over/Under: 48.5
TV Channel
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NFL | Atlanta Falcons (4-8) at Green Bay Packers (4-7-1)
Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports

The Atlanta Falcons and Green Bay Packers meet Sunday in week 14 NFL action at the Lambeau Field.

The Atlanta Falcons could use a feel good victory here to snap a rough four-game losing streak. The Atlanta Falcons have lost four of their last five road games. Matt Ryan is completing 70.9 percent of his passes for 3,814 yards, 25 touchdowns and five interceptions. Ryan has one touchdown pass in four of his last eight games. Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley have combined for 1,970 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns while Mohamed Sanu has 45 receptions. The Atlanta Falcons ground game is averaging 79 yards per contest, and Tevin Coleman leads the way with 514 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Atlanta is allowing 27.8 points and 394.2 yards per game. Foye Oluokun leads the Atlanta Falcons with 71 tackles, Takkarist McKinley has 5.5 sacks and Damontae Kazee has six interceptions. 

The Green Bay Packers could also use a feel good victory here after losing five of their last six games. The Green Bay Packers have won three of their last four home games. Aaron Rodgers is completing 61.8 percent of his passes for 3,504 yards, 21 touchdowns and one interception. Rodgers has two or more touchdown 1,651 in eight of his last 13 games. Davante Adams and Jimmy Graham have combined for 1,508 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns while Marquez Valdes-Scantling has 27 receptions. The Green Bay Packers ground game is averaging 105.7 yards per contest, and Aaron Jones leads the way with 642 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, Green Bay is allowing 23.9 points and 351.8 yards per game. Blake Martinez leads the Green Bay Packers with 106 tackles, Kyler Fackrell has eight sacks and Jaire Alexander has one interception.

The Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games, 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Packers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in December and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Green Bay and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The under is 5-1 in Packers last 6 games overall. The under is 4-0 in Falcons last 4 games overall.

The Atlanta Falcons have been held to 19 or less points in each of their last four games. It used to be the defense that was trash for the Falcons, but now the offense can't do anything despite all of those weapons. The Green Bay Packers are coming off a game in which they lost outright to the horrible Arizona Cardinals at home, which got their head coach fired. These two teams are a complete mess to put it nicely. The Atlanta Falcons have covered five of their last eight games when an underdog of at least five points. The Green Bay Packers have split their last eight games ATS when a favorite of at least five points. I want nothing to do with either of these teams, especially when you're throwing out six points. The Packers just lost to the freaking Cardinals, so I don't see how you make them this big of a favorite. The Falcons have issues on both sides of the ball. Don't bet this game. However, if forced to pick, I'd side with the over. Two of the better quarterbacks in the league, if they both play to their potential, this should be a high scoring game. Blah. 

Over 48.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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