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Green Bay Packers vs. Buffalo Bills - 9/30/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Buffalo Bills (1-2) at Green Bay Packers (1-1-1)
Date & Time Sunday September 30, 2018, 1:00 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Green Bay Packers -10.5 -- Over/Under: 44
TV Channel
CBS
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NFL | Buffalo Bills (1-2) at Green Bay Packers (1-1-1)
Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

The Buffalo Bills and the Green Bay Packers will be meeting up in NFL action from Lambeau Field on Sunday, September 30. 

So far this season, the Bills are sitting at 1-2. Buffalo opened things up with an embarrassing loss to the Ravens 47-3, then fell to the Chargers in Week 2 31-20 before finally getting a win over the Vikings 27-6. 

In that Minnesota game, Bills QB Josh Allen logged 196 yards and one TD (with two more on the ground), and Chris Ivory led the rush with 56 yards. Ivory was also the top Buffalo receiver with three catches for 70 yards. 

Over on the Packers’ side, they’re currently 1-1-1 this season. Green Bay pulled an epic win over Chicago in Week 1, then tied the Vikings 29-29 in Week 2. In their most recent appearance, the Packers fell to the Redskins 31-17. 

In that Redskins game, Packers QB Aaron Rodgers put up 265 yards and two scores, with Aaron Jones leading the rush on 42 yards from six carries. Geronimo Allison was the lead Green Bay receiver with his 76 yards and a TD off two catches. 

The Bills are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games in September and 2-5 ATS in their last seven following an ATS win. Buffalo is 0-5 ATS in their last five road games versus a team with a losing home record and 5-1 ATS in their last six on grass. 

Meanwhile, the Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last five in Week 4 and 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games. Green Bay is 1-5 ATS in their last six overall and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 following a straight-up loss. 

After Buffalo got pummeled in the opening week, pretty much every one wrote them off for dead. The good news for the Bills is that they’ve been playing progressively better, and took out a decent Minnesota team with relative ease. 

As for the Packers, they’ve got some real issues on their team right now, starting with the health of Rodgers, who simply doesn’t look right. I would have thought this silly a few weeks ago, but I’m taking Buffalo for the cover.

Pick:
Buffalo Bills +10.5

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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