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Green Bay Packers vs. Cincinnati Bengals - 9/24/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Cincinnati Bengals (0-2) at Green Bay Packers (1-1)
Date & Time Sunday September 24, 2017, 4:25 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Green Bay Packers -7.5 -- Over/Under: 45.5
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NFL | Cincinnati Bengals (0-2) at Green Bay Packers (1-1)

Up at Lambeau Field on Sunday, the Cincinnati Bengals and the Green Bay Packers will be meeting up in NFL Week 3 action. 

The Bengals come into this game at 0-2 following a 20-0 shutout by the Ravens in the opener and a 13-9 loss to Houston in Week 2. In that Texans game, Bengals QB Andy Dalton went 20-of-35 for 224 yards, while Joe Mixon led the way in rushing with nine carries for 36 yards. AJ Green was Cincinnati’s top receiver with five catches for 67 yards. 

Through two games so far, Dalton has 394 yards, zero TDs and four interceptions, while Giovani Bernard leads the Bengals on the ground with 50 yards on 12 attempts. Green is the receiving leader in Cincinnati with 141 yards on 10 catches and 18 targets. 

Over on the Packers’ side, they’re currently 1-1 following a 17-9 win over the Seahawks in Week 1 and a 34-23 loss to the Falcons this past Sunday. In that rematch of last year’s playoff loss, Packers QB Aaron Rodgers went 33-of-50 for 343 yards, two touchdowns and a pick, while Ty Montgomery was the top rusher on 10 carries for 35 yards and a score. Davante Adams led Green Bay with his eight receptions for 99 yards and a TD. 

This year so far, Rodgers has 654 yards with three touchdowns and a pair of interceptions; Montgomery leads the Pack in rushing on 89 yards and a TD from 29 carries. Adams is Green Bay’s leading receiver with 11 receptions on 17 targets for 146 yards and a score. 

The Bengals are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games in Week 3 and 7-2 ATS in their last nine games on grass. Cincinnati is also 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games and 1-4 ATS in their last five games in September. 

Meanwhile, the Packers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games in September and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss. Green Bay is also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall and 39-19-2 ATS in their last 60 home games. 

Cincinnati has some solid rushers in their backfield, so they should be obliterating people on the ground. That’s not happening, however, as the Bengals rushed for just 82 yards on 24 carries as a team in Week 2, and put up 22 carries for 77 yards in the opener (though Dalton’s five turnovers  and 0.7 QBR certainly didn’t help). Dalton also needs a reliable target who isn’t named AJ Green to step up and help carry the load in the passing game. The Bengals have a lot of issues to work out, and they’ll need more than a week to do it. Give me the Packers here.

Green Bay Packers -7.5

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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