Houston Texans vs. Carolina Panthers - 9/29/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Houston Texans vs. Carolina Panthers
Sunday, September 29, 2019 at 12:00 PM (NRG Stadium)
Houston Texans -5 -- O/U: 46
TV: DAZN, FOX
The Carolina Panthers and the Houston Texans meet in a week 4 inter-conference matchup in NFL action from NRG Stadium on Sunday afternoon.
The Carolina Panthers will look to build some momentum after picking up their first win of the season coming in the form of a 38-20 win over Arizona in their last outing. Cam Newton missed this game due to injury, leaving the door open for Kyle Allen to step in and throw for 261 yards and 4 touchdowns. Christian McCaffrey leads Carolina in rushing with 318 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns while Greg Olsen leads the Panthers in receiving with 221 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns. DJ Moore has a team-high 17 receptions for 217 yards while Curtis Samuel and the aforementioned McCaffrey are in Carolina’s 100-yard receiving club this season. Defensively, Luke Kuechly leads Carolina with 36 total tackles including a team-high 20 solo tackles while Mario Addison has a team-high 3.5 sacks and Donte Jackson has a pair of interceptions. As a team, Carolina is averaging 369.3 yards of total offense and 26.3 points per game while allowing 295.3 yards of total defense and 23.3 points per game against this season.
The Houston Texans will look to build on back-to-back wins after a 27-20 win over the Los Angeles Chargers on the road last time out. Deshaun Watson has thrown for 778 yards on 65.6% passing with 6 touchdowns and an interception as well as a pair of rushing touchdowns while Carlos Hyde leads Houston in rushing with 192 rushing yards and a touchdown of his own. DeAndre Hopkins leads Houston with 19 receptions for 218 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns while Kenny Stills, Will Fuller V and Jordan Akins each have 100+ receiving yards for the Texans this season. Defensively, Johnathan Joseph leads Houston with 23 total tackles including 19 solo tackles while Whitney Mercilus has a team-high 4 sacks this season. As a team, Houston is averaging 351 yards of total offense and 22.7 points per game while allowing 385.7 yards of total defense and 20.7 points per game against this season.
Carolina is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a win while the over is 35-16-2 in their last 53 games against a team with a winning record. Houston is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a losing record and 14-3 ATS in their last 17 week 4 matchups while the under is 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
Allen had quite a debut for the Panthers and Newton will be out again for this one it looks like, so we will get to see more of Allen here. The problem is that going from Arizona (who many people rightfully have being one of the NFL’s worst this season) to Houston is a completely different animal as the Texans have a solid defense and can make your life hell as an opposing quarterback with the likes of Mercilus and J.J. watt forcing the pass rush. I just don’t see Carolina pulling another one out in a second straight week, so I’ll lay the points with Houston in a game I see the Texans winning by a touchdown.