Indianapolis Colts vs. Atlanta Falcons - 9/22/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Indianapolis Colts vs. Atlanta Falcons
Sunday, September 22, 2019 at 12:00 PM (Lucas Oil Stadium)
The Line: Indianapolis Colts -2.5 -- Over/Under: 47.5
The Atlanta Falcons and Indianapolis Colts meet Sunday in NFL action at Lucas Oil Stadium.
The Atlanta Falcons look for their first road victory to get a game above a .500 record. The Atlanta Falcons have lost six of their last nine road games. Matt Ryan is completing 67.4 percent of his passes for 624 yards, five touchdowns and five interceptions. Ryan has two or more touchdown passes in eight of his last 11 games. Calvin Ridley and Julio Jones have combined for 306 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Austin Hooper has 13 receptions. The Atlanta Falcons ground game is averaging 65 yards per contest, and Ito Smith leads the way with 63 yards on 10 carries. Defensively, Atlanta is allowing 24 points and 277.5 yards per game. De’Vondre Campbell leads the Atlanta Falcons with 16 tackles, Grady Jarrett has two sacks and Desmond Trufant has two interceptions.
The Indianapolis Colts look to get a game above a .500 record when they play their first home game. The Indianapolis Colts have won their last six home games. Jacoby Brissett is completing 69.1 percent of his passes for 336 yards, five touchdowns and one interception. Brissett has five touchdown passes on his last 59 pass attempts. T.Y. Hilton and Jack Doyle have combined for 171 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Deon Cain has two receptions. The Indianapolis Colts ground game is averaging 185 yards per contest, and Marlon Mack leads the way with 225 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Indianapolis is allowing 23.5 points and 338.5 yards per game. Darius Leonard leads the Indianapolis Colts with 18 tackles, Denico Autry has 2.5 sacks and Malik Hooker has one interception.
The Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 3 and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Colts are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September, 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings and the favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The under is 8-3 in Colts last 11 games overall. The under is 7-3 in Falcons last 10 games overall.
The Atlanta Falcons have failed to cover seven of their last nine games as a road underdog. The Indianapolis Colts are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games as a home favorite. The Falcons have been shaky through two games, but the offense did find some success last week, and that's encouraging given the firepower on this squad. The Colts could easily be 2-0 right now and you know that stadium is going to be rocking considering the fans haven't seen their team in a meaningful home game since December 23. While I get why the Colts are favored, I'm still high on the Falcons, a team I had winning the NFC before the season. When you see a team you like a lot getting free points, you usually tend to take them regardless of the situation based on the value. Give me the Falcons in this toss-up contest.