Jacksonville Jaguars at Denver Broncos - 9/29/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Denver Broncos vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Sunday, September 29, 2019 at 3:25 PM (Empower Stadium at Mile High)
Denver Broncos -3 -- O/U: 38
TV: DAZN, CBS
The Jacksonville Jaguars and the Denver Broncos meet in a week 4 matchup in NFL action from Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday afternoon.
The Jacksonville Jaguars will look to build on their first win of the season and get back to .500 after climbing to 1-2 with a 20-7 win over Tennessee in their last outing. Gardner Minshew II has thrown for 692 yards, 5 touchdowns and an interception on 73.9% passing while Leonard Fournette leads the Jags in rushing with 179 rushing yards. DJ Chark Jr. leads Jacksonville’s receiving group with 15 grabs for 277 yards and 3 TDs while Chris Conley has 12 catches for 200 receiving yards. Defensively, Ronnie Harrison leads the Jaguars with 24 total tackles including 14 solo tackles while Quincy Williams has 20 tackles including 14 solo tackles of his own and Calais Campbell has 3 sacks to lead Jacksonville in that category this season. As a team, Jacksonville is averaging 333.7 yards of total offense and 19.3 points per game while allowing 364.7 yards of total defense and 20 points per game against this season.
The Denver Broncos will be on the hunt for their first win of the season after falling to 0-3 with a 27-16 loss to Green Bay in their last outing. Joe Flacco has thrown for 773 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 69.1% passing while Royce Freeman leads Denver with 173 rushing yards and Phillip Lindsay has 160 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns this season. Courtland Sutton leads Denver in receiving with 247 receiving yards while Emmanuel Sanders has a team-high 18 grabs for 194 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Josey Jewell leads the Broncos with 26 total tackles including a team-high 15 solo tackles, 10 total tackles more than the next Denver player on the list. As a team, Denver is averaging 348.3 yards of total offense and 15.3 points per game while allowing 314 yards of total defense and 22.3 points per game against this season.
Jacksonville is 4-9-2 ATS in their last 15 games overall and 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games while the under is 5-2 in their last 7 games following a win. Denver is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 home games while the under is 8-0 in their last 8 home games. Jacksonville is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams and 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two teams in Denver.
I understand the Broncos being favored because they’re at home along with the fact that the elements are not ideal for a rookie with the thin air at Mile High. The Broncos also still have some talent on defense. However, the offense for Denver has not been good at all in the early going this season and while I mentioned talent, the Broncos are uncharacteristically having issues on D as the Bronoos don’t have a sack or an interception this season. Minshew has experience playing in these conditions playing against Colorado in Pac-12 play as a member of the Washington State Cougars. I just think that there’s something here with Minshew and the Jaguars, and I just think that Jacksonville is the better team right now. I’ll take Jacksonville and the points in a game I see the Jaguars winning outright.