Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans - 9/15/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Sunday, September 15, 2019 at 12:00 PM (NRG Stadium )
The Line: Houston Texans -8.5 -- Over/Under: 43.5
The Jacksonville Jaguars and Houston Texans meet Sunday in NFL action at NRG Stadium.
The Jacksonville Jaguars need a win here after getting beat up last week by the Kansas City Chiefs. The Jacksonville Jaguars 88 lost six of their last seven road games. Gardner Minshew is completing 64 percent of his passes for 275 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Minshew enters this game with 25 career pass attempts under his belt. DJ Chark and Chris Conley have combined for 243 receiving yards and two touchdowns while James O'Shaughnessy has four receptions. The Jacksonville Jaguars ground game is averaging 81 yards per contest, and Leonard Fournette leads the way with 66 yards on 13 carries. Defensively, Jacksonville is allowing 40 points and 491 yards per game. Ronnie Harrison leads the Jacksonville Jaguars with six tackles, Quincy Williams has one tackle for loss and Yannick Ngakoue has one tackle for loss.
The Houston Texans also need a win after a heartbreaking loss to the New Orleans Saints. The Houston Texans have won six of their last seven home games. Deshaun Watson is completing 66.7 percent of his passes for 268 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Watson has two or more touchdown passes in six of his last 10 games. DeAndre Hopkins and Will Fuller V have combined for 180 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Kenny Stills has three receptions. The Houston Texans ground game is averaging 180 yards per contest, and Carlos Hyde leads the way with 83 yards on 10 carries. Defensively, Houston is allowing 30 points and 510 yards per game. Justin Reid leads the Houston Texans with 10 tackles, Whitney Mercilus has one sack and Carlos Watkins has one pass deflection.
The Jaguars are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC South, 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games and 2-9-2 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The Texans are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 2 and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf. The Jaguars are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Houston and the road team is 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings. The under is 4-0 in Texans last 4 home games. The under is 5-2 in Jaguars last 7 vs. AFC South.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered eight of their last 10 games as an underdog of at least seven points. The Houston Texans are 3-3-1 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite of at least seven points. This feels like a lot of points to lay in a division game and the Jags have the defense to hang around. However, I question how the Jacksonville Jaguars are going to move the ball with an inexperienced quarterback on the road, especially with the Texans defense improved from a year ago. There's much better options on Sunday's card, but if forced to pick this game, I'd take the Texans at home in a comfortable victory. I just don't trust Jacksonville's quarterback situation right now.