Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Kansas City Chiefs - 9/8/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports
Kansas City Chiefs at Jacksonville Jaguars
Sunday, September 8, 2019 at 12:00 PM (EverBank Field )
Jacksonville Jaguars +4 O/U: 52.5
The Kansas City Chiefs and the Jacksonville Jaguars will open up their NFL seasons with Week 1 action on Sunday, September 8.
The Chiefs are coming out of a successful regular-season campaign in 2018, going 12-4 and winning the AFC West. Kansas City win the Divisional Playoff round over the Colts 31-13 but fell in a tough one 37-31 in the AFC Championship to the Patriots.
This preseason, Kansas City started out with a 38-17 win over the Bengals but then fell in their next pair of games 17-7 (Steelers) and 27-17 (49ers). In Week 4 against the Packers, the Chiefs fell 27-20.
Over on the Jaguars’ side, they’ve got some work to do after a bad 2018. Despite coming out of the gate at 3-1, Jacksonville faltered in a seven-game losing streak and ended up at 5-11 in the basement of the division.
In the preseason, Jacksonville stumbled out of the gate as well, dropping their first three games against the Ravens, Eagles and Dolphins—scoring just 17 points in the process. In Week 4 versus the Falcons, the Jaguars lost 31-12.
The Chiefs are 7-0 ATS in the last seven games in September and 13-6 ATS in their last 19 versus the AFC. The over is 4-0 in Kansas City’s last four games in Week 1 and 5-1 in their last six in September.
Meanwhile, the Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in their last five in September and 14-6 ATS in the last 20 in Week 1. Jacksonville is 2-5-2 ATS in their last nine versus the AFC and the over is 12-5 in their last 17 in September.
Line-wise it’s a little surprising this one hasn’t inflated much further; most people seem to be on the Chiefs here, myself included. Realistically there’s not a whole lot of chance the Jaguars offense keeps up with KC, so I’m not going to overthink it too much.