New England Patriots (12-2) at New York Jets (9-5)
|Date & Time||Sunday December 27, 2015, 1:00 PM (EST)|
The Line: New York Jets +3 -- Over/Under: 45.5
The New England Patriots and New York Jets square off in a key AFC East battle at MetLife Stadium.
The New England Patriots look to inch closer to the top seed in the AFC with a bye already locked up. Tom Brady is completing 64.3 percent of his passes for 4,405 yards, 35 touchdowns and six interceptions. Brady has seven passing touchdowns in his last three games. Rob Gronkowski and Julian Edelman have combined for 1,764 receiving yards and 18 touchdowns while Brandon LaFell has 34 receptions. The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 90.8 yards per contest, and Brandon Bolden leads the way with 146 yards on 45 carries. Defensively, New England is allowing 19.2 points and 326.1 yards per game. Patrick Chung leads the Pats with 79 tackles, Chandler Jones has 12.5 sacks and Malcolm Butler has 15 pass deflections. Dont'a Hightower, Patrick Chung and Steven Jackson are questionable.
The New York Jets need this big victory in order to remain in the AFC playoff race. Ryan Fitzpatrick is completing 60.5 percent of his passes for 3,428 yards, 26 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Fitzpatrick has six touchdown passes in his last three games. Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker have combined for 2,191 receiving yards and 21 touchdowns while Bilal Powell has 42 receptions. The New York Jets ground game is averaging 114.5 yards per contest, and Chris Ivory leads the way with 951 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, New York is allowing 19.4 points and 322.8 yards per game. David Harris leads the Jets with 88 tackles, Muhammad Wilkerson has 12 sacks and Antonio Cromartie has 12 pass deflections. Dion Bailey is questionable with an ankle injury.
The Patriots are 2-0-2 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC East and 0-3-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Jets are 4-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games. The Patriots are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 meetings in New York and 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings overall.
The Jets are finally playing consistent football, as Fitzpatrick is really making plays with his arm while Marshall and Decker have been impossible to cover in big moments. Meanwhile, the Patriots are still having players drop like flies, which includes their leading tackler in Chung. You just wonder how New England can keep this up with key guys getting hurt every week.
I like the Jets to win outright, which is why I’ll take the free field goal just to be safe.