Kansas City Chiefs at Jacksonville Jaguars - 9/8/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Kansas City Chiefs at Jacksonville Jaguars
Sunday, September 8, 2019 at 12:00 PM (TIAA Bank Field)
The Line: Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5 -- Over/Under: 51.5
The Kansas City Chiefs and Jacksonville Jaguars meet Sunday in NFL action at TIAA Bank Field.
The Kansas City Chiefs have won double-digit games each of the last four years and enter this season as a top Super Bowl contender out of the AFC. The Kansas City Chiefs have split their last six road games. The Kansas City Chiefs have won each of their last four regular season openers. The Kansas City Chiefs finished last year ranked first in offensive yards per game and points per game. Defensively, the Chiefs finished 24 in points allowed and 31 in yards allowed. We all know about Andy Reid being an offensive genius and the star Patrick Mahomes has become overnight. The Chiefs can score with the best of them and they’re the most fun team in the league to watch. However, the Chiefs need to improve defensively in order to be taken seriously, and maybe the additions of Frank Clark and Tyrann Mathieu will do the trick.
The Jacksonville Jaguars watched their win total get cut in half last year after nearly making the Super Bowl in 2017. The Jacksonville Jaguars have lost four of their last six home games. The Jacksonville Jaguars have lost five of their last seven regular season openers. The Jacksonville Jaguars finished last year ranked 27th in offensive yards per game and 31st in points per game. Defensively, the Jaguars finished fourth in points allowed and fifth in yards allowed. The Jaguars obviously still have the defense to be a respectable squad, it all comes down to the offense being able to move the ball further than the length of a driveway. Nick Foles is an upgrade at quarterback and Leonard Fournette is a beast win healthy, but Jacksonville’s wide receivers need to step up as well for this to become a balanced team.
The Chiefs are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 road games, 13-6 ATS in their last 19 vs. AFC and 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Jaguars are 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC, 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 2-8-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. The under is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 games overall. The over is 6-2 in Chiefs last 8 games overall.
The Kansas City Chiefs have failed to cover seven of their last 10 games as a favorite. The Jacksonville Jaguars are 2-4-2 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog. The Jacksonville Jaguars should be eager for this game, as their defense has a chance to flex their muscle against one of the top offenses in the league, and Jalen Ramsey did some chirping about Tyreek Hill last year. Bragging rights are on the line here. And while home teams have value in season openers, the Jaguars did absolutely nothing offensively in the preseason and you still get the same vibes about this team from a year ago. The Kansas City Chiefs may not have their typical offensive success, but if they get loose even a little, I'm not confident the Jags can keep up. I'll eat the chalk.