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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos - 10/30/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Denver Broncos (3-3) at Kansas City Chiefs (5-2)
Date & Time Monday October 30, 2017, 8:30 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Kansas City Chiefs -7.5 -- Over/Under: 43.5
TV Channel
ESPN
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NFL | Denver Broncos (3-3) at Kansas City Chiefs (5-2)
USA TODAY Sports

The Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs meet Monday in NFL action at Arrowhead Stadium on ESPN.

The Denver Broncos need a statement victory to get back on track after losing three of their last four games. The Denver Broncos have lost four straight road games. Trevor Siemian is completing 63 percent of his passes for 1,471 yards, eight touchdowns and seven interceptions. Siemian has one or less touchdown passes in four straight games. Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders have combined for 655 receiving yards and two touchdowns while A.J. Derby has 15 receptions. The Denver Broncos ground game is averaging 114.5 yards per contest, and C.J. Anderson leads the way with 391 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Denver is allowing 19.7 points and 258.5 yards per game. Brandon Marshall leads the Denver Broncos with 42 tackles, Von Miller has seven sacks and Bradley Roby has one interception.

The Kansas City Chiefs look to snap a skid of back-to-back losses to build on their lead in the AFC West. The Kansas City Chiefs have won eight of their last 11 home games. Alex Smith is completing 72.4 percent of his passes for 1,979 yards, 15 touchdowns and zero interceptions. Smith has two or more touchdown passes in four of his last seven games. Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce have combined for 938 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Kareem Hunt has 25 receptions. The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 129 yards per contest, and Hunt leads the way with 717 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 23 points and 396.3 yards per game. Daniel Sorensen leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 41 tackles, Justin Houston has 5.5 sacks and Terrance Mitchell has two interceptions.

The Broncos are 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 Monday games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. The Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Monday games, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC West and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall. The Broncos are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Kansas City, the underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings and the road team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

The Kansas City Chiefs are due for a breakout performance after back-to-back tough losses and all five of their victories have been won by at least seven points. The Denver Broncos simply can't do anything offensively, as they've produced a combined 26 points in their last three games. That's an average of 8.6 points per game in their last three games for those who aren't good at math. Siemian has been sacked 22 times, the Broncos offensive line has struggled, and those two things aren't good when going up against this KC front seven. Based on the way both teams are playing, this feels like it could end up how the last meeting back in December went when the Chiefs won 33-10. I don't love the big line, but Kansas City by double digits is likely. 

Pick:
Kansas City Chiefs -7.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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