Los Angeles Chargers at Miami Dolphins - 9/29/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Miami Dolphins vs. Los Angeles Chargers
Sunday, September 29, 2019 at 12:00 PM (Hard Rock Stadium)
The Line: Miami Dolphins +15.5 -- Over/Under: 44
The Los Angeles Chargers and Miami Dolphins meet Sunday in NFL action at Hard Rock Stadium.
The Los Angeles Chargers look for their first road victory to get back to a .500 record. The Los Angeles Chargers have won six of their last seven road games. Philip Rivers is completing 66.4 percent of his passes for 944 yards, five touchdowns and two interceptions. Rivers has three touchdown passes in four of his last seven games. Keenan Allen and Austin Ekeler have combined for 612 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Mike Williams has eight receptions. The Los Angeles Chargers ground game is averaging 111.7 yards per contest, and Ekeler leads the way with 160 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Los Angeles is allowing 21.3 points and 363.7 yards per game. Thomas Davis leads the Los Angeles Chargers with 34 tackles, Joey Bosa has 1.5 sacks and Rayshawn Jenkins has one interception.
The Miami Dolphins need a win here to prevent their first 0-4 start since 2011. The Miami Dolphins have split their last eight home games. Joe Rosen is completing 43.3 percent of his passes for 302 yards, zero touchdowns and two interceptions. Rosen and Ryan Fitzpatrick has have combined for one touchdown and six interceptions this season. Preston Williams and DeVante Parker have combined for 286 receiving yards and one touchdown while Kenyan Drake has 10 receptions. The Miami Dolphins ground game is averaging 45 yards per contest, and Drake leads the way with 69 yards on 22 carries. Defensively, Miami is allowing 44.3 points and 499.3 yards per game. Jerome Baker leads the Miami Dolphins with 23 tackles, Vince Biegel has one sack and Bobby McCain has one interception.
The Chargers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games, 1-8-2 ATS in their last 11 games in September and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Dolphins are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in September and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Chargers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Miami and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The under is 5-2 in Dolphins last 7 games on grass. The under is 5-2 in Chargers last 7 games overall.
The Los Angeles Chargers have failed to cover six of their last nine games as a double-digit favorite. The Miami Dolphins have failed to cover six of their last eight games as a double-digit underdog. I was very high on the Chargers entering the season, but they could easily be 0-3 on the year right now, and they come out to the east coast with a ton of injuries. The Miami Dolphins played better last week against the Cowboys and the offense should get a major boost with the return of wide receiver Albert Wilson. Weird things also usually happen when west coast teams play on the east coast, as that clock makes for an early start. I'll take a shot with the points here.