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Los Angeles Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs - 11/18/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers
Date & Time Monday November 18, 2019, 8:16 PM (EST)
Location
Estadio Azteca
Mexico City
The Line
Kansas City Chiefs -4.5 . Total 52.5
TV Channel
ESPN
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Jim Brown-USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas City Chiefs travel to Mexico City for a Monday Night Football matchup with the Los Angeles Chargers.  The Chiefs are (6-4) on the season, having just lost to the Titans 35-32.  The Chargers are (4-6) and saw their 2 game win streak come to an end, with a loss on the road to the Raiders, 26-24.

During the Chiefs loss to the Titans, Chiefs offense was not the issue.  Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes was 36 of 50 passing for 446 yds and 3 touchdowns.  The Chiefs defense struggled in the game, allowing the Titans to put up 35 points and record 371 yds of total offense.  The Chiefs allowed 225 yds rushing in the loss.  Tyreek Hills had 157 yds receiving and 11 receptions and a touchdown. 

In the Chargers loss to the Raiders, the Chargers were guided by Melvin Gordon.  Gordon had 108 yds rushing on 22 carries and a touchdown.  Philip Rivers was 17 of 31 for 207 yds, while throwing 2 touchdowns and 3 interceptions.  The Chargers out gained the Raiders 315 to 278.  The difference in the game was the Chargers 3 interceptions compared to the Raiders 0 turnovers.

Recent Betting Trends:

Chiefs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Chiefs are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 vs. AFC West.

The over is 4-1 in Chiefs last 5 games overall.

Chargers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. the AFC.

Chargers are 5-2 ATS vs a team with a winning record.

The under is 7-2 in Chargers last 9 games overall.

There is no real home field advantage for either of these teams, with the game being played in Mexico City.  The Chiefs are 4-1 ATS away from Kansas City, where as the Chargers are 2-3 away from Los Angeles.  The Chargers defense has gone under the radar in allowing the 5th fewest passing yds per game.  Their rushing defense isn't great but then the Chiefs haven't rushed the ball that well either.  The Chiefs rush defense has been pitiful, allowing almost 150 yds on the ground.  This could be key for Melvin Gordon and the Chargers offense.  I really want to pick the Chiefs here, but I think the Chargers have the edge offensively and defensively. I think the Chargers will win, but I will play it safe and take the points.  Final score prediction, Chiefs win and Chargers cover, 27-26.   

    

Pick:
LAC +4.5
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