New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys - 9/8/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys
Sunday, September 8, 2019 at 3:25 PM (AT&T Stadium)
The Line: Dallas Cowboys -7.5 -- Over/Under: 45.5
The New York Giants and Dallas Cowboys meet Sunday in NFL action at AT&T Stadium.
The New York Giants have won a combined eight games the last two years and have made the playoffs once since 2012. The New York Giants have lost four of their last six road games. The New York Giants have lose seven of their last eight regular season openers. The New York Giants finished last year ranked 17th in offensive yards per game and 16th in points per game. Defensively, the Giants finished 23rd in points allowed and 24th in yards allowed. The Giants offensive line and quarterback play was so bad last year that it’s hard to put that aside hading into this season, especially when Eli Manning is likely going to be the starter for the bulk of the games yet again. The Giants defense should be better with the additions of Jabrill Peppers and Antoine Bethea, giving them an impressive secondary. However, it’s tough to win in this league with shaky OL and QB play, and the Giants have both until proven otherwise.
The Dallas Cowboys are coming off a 10-win season and now hope to make the playoffs back-to-back years for the first time since 2006-07. The Dallas Cowboys have won each of their last four home games. The Dallas Cowboys have split their last six regular season openers. The Dallas Cowboys finished last year ranked 22nd in offensive yards per game and points per game. Defensively, the Cowboys finished sixth in points allowed and seven in yards allowed. With Ezekiel Elliott resigned, Jason Witten out of retirement and a full offseason to work with Amari Cooper, the Cowboys have the potential to be scary good offensively. Defensively, the Cowboys are as good as they’ve been in years, and they’ll be even better if they can get a full season out of Sean Lee. The Cowboys always have high expectations, but this is one of the few teams they’re actually deserved.
The Giants are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in September and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC East, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 1 and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Giants are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings and the under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. The over is 6-2 in Cowboys last 8 home games. The over is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games overall.
The Dallas Cowboys are the clear better team here, but weird things happen when they play the Giants. In fact, eight of the last nine meetings between these two teams have been decided in seven or less points. The Cowboys beat the Giants twice last year, but the average margin of victory was four points, and that includes a one-point victory in December when they were 7.5-point favorites. The New York Giants have also covered six of their last seven games when an underdog of at least seven points, while the Cowboys are 5-10-1 ATS in their last 16 games when favored by seven or more points. I have to take the Giants and the free touchdown with the hook.