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NFL Pick, Prediction and Odds: 2019 Win Total For The Dallas Cowboys

The Dallas Cowboys are looking to build on a (10-6) 2018 regular season campaign, where they were an were NFC East Champions and made a strong run in the playoffs before losing to the NFC Champion Los Angeles Rams. This will be a new look offense as QB coach Kellen Moore was promoted to Offensive Coordinator and he will implement a more dynamic scheme. This offense was below average as they were only 21st in points per game, which is due to the offensive change. Additionally, the Cowboys went 7-2 since they acquired Amari Cooper, which will play big dividends. In the offseason, this offense lost Swiss army knife Cole Beasley, but gained pro bowl WR Randall Cobb. The defense improved immensely with their talented linebacker core, finishing 7th in total yards allowed and being the primary reason of the Cowboys 2018 success.  Coach Jason Garrett and company begin their quest for a consecutive division crown vs the New York Giants at home.

Week 1 vs New York Giants

This game should get the Cowboys off to a very good start as they play the below average New York Giants. The Giants were one of the worst offensive teams in the league in the 2018 season and did nothing to improve. They also let their best defensive player in Landon Collins walk, so there defense will be worse than it already was. Give me the Cowboys in a route.

Win (1-0)

Week 2 at Washington Redskins

The Cowboys should be able to continue their fast start against a new look Washington Redskins with serious questions at quarterback. QB Case Keenum is a turnover machine and rookie Dwayne Haskins has not seen a defense as stout as the Cowboys as the Cowboys win a low scoring affair.

Win (2-0)

Week 3 vs Miami Dolphins

If there is a team that is clearly tanking it would be the Dolphins. The Dolphins have a below average offense and defense, and might be led by journeymen Ryan Fitzpatrick to start the season. The Cowboys clearly have the better talent on both sides of the ball as I see an easy win at home.

Win (3-0)

Week 4 at New Orleans Saints

The Cowboys should improve on offense with new OC Kellen Moore, but the Saints look poised for a Super Bowl run in the coming year. The third highest points per game offense at home, against a below average QB away from home should allow the Saints to have the edge and outscore the Cowboys. Cowboys take their first loss of the season.

Loss (3-1)

Week 5 vs Green Bay Packers

The Packers hope to improve their offense with new HC Matt Lafleur, but the Packers just do not have the weapons.  The Cowboys defense should be able to stifle this offense and put enough pressure on QB Aaron Rodgers to force the run game to carry the load. Take the Cowboys at home in a slugfest.

Win (4-1)

Week 6 at New York Jets

This New York Jets team will come out swinging with a new coach, new GM, and new weapon in Leveon Bell, but this defense will be up to the task. I see this defense coming up with several key defensive stops to a road win.

Win (5-1)

Week 7 vs Philadelphia Eagles

The Philadelphia Eagles should be in good hands with a healthy Carson Wentz. He is honestly my preseason pick for NFL MVP. I think the Carson Wentz of old shows up and the acquisition of speedy Desean Jackson plays the difference as this Eagles offense out produce the Cowboys.

Loss (5-2)

Week 8 Bye

Week 9 at New York Giants

If there was such a thing as an easy divisional win this would be the time. The Giants had one of the worst offenses in the league in 2018 and did nothing to improve. They drafted an incumbent QB, lost their franchise WR and declined on defense in the process. The Cowboys have more talent and should win.

Win (6-2)

Week 10 vs Minnesota Vikings

This will be a very tough matchup for this team as the Minnesota Vikings are set for a bounce back year. They are my sleeper for a NFC title contender as I think they win the NFC North. The Vikings have a comparable defense and I see Mike Zimmer able to do enough to put pressure on Dak and force multiple mistakes. Give me the Vikings.

Loss (6-3)

Week 11 at Detroit Lions

The 24th ranked total offense in the Detroit Lions will have a hard time producing any offense against this 7th ranked total offensive yards allowed defense. This defense will smother Stafford behind a weak offensive interior and get a win on the road.

Win (7-3)

Week 12 at New England Patriots

The Dallas Cowboys have been unable to beat the Patriots in Foxborough and I do not see that starting this season. Although the Cowboys have the better defense, the Patriots have the more consistent offensive system and better coaching. Tom Brady and Belichick will find a way to exploit this defense and outscore a below average QB on the road in Dak Prescott.

Loss (7-4)

Week 13 vs Buffalo Bills

The Bills should improve on offense with QB Josh Allen having a year of experience under his belt, but the Bills just do not have enough weapons to outdo this Cowboys defense. Cowboys win this game with ease at home.

Win (8-4)

Week 14 at Chicago Bears

This will be a big test for this Cowboys offense as they travel to Soldier Field to face the #1 ranked points allowed per game defense in the Chicago Bears. The Bears defense is scary and if QB Mitch Trubisky can limit turnovers and get his playmaker in Cohen going, the Bears should be able to win this one at home.

Loss (8-5)

Week 15 vs Los Angeles Rams

Although the Cowboys defense is talented this Rams offense is too good. This will be a big game for the Cowboys as they will be contending for a playoff spot but I think they will be unable to stop Sean McVay and his offense, as well as bolstering a projected improved defense. Take the Rams.

Loss (8-6)

Week 16 at Philadelphia Eagles

I see this as a surprise upset as the Eagles are feeling good after their previous win at AT&T Stadium and this Cowboys team will show up in a win or go home scenario. I see this Cowboys defense stepping up and making a few more plays than the Eagles. Take the Cowboys.

Win (9-6)

Week 17 vs Washington Redskins

The Redskins should be improved from last year as Dwayne Haskins looks to be the real deal, but this will be a repeat of the week 2 matchup as the Cowboys wrap up the regular season with a win at home.

Win (10-6)

This line is low too me as the Cowboys are gifted 2 games against the Giants and Redskins, as well as playing the Dolphins, Jets, Lions, and Bills. Give me the over.

Pick:
Over 9 Wins

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