NFL Pick, Prediction and Odds: 2019 Win Total For The Green Bay Packers
Wednesday, July 31, 2019 at 2:14 PM (Lambeau Field)
Over/Under 9 Wins
The Green Bay Packers are looking to build on a (6-10) 2018 season. A season where the Packers offense struggled with Aaron Rodgers being injured for a majority of the season and the offense looking stagnant at best under Mike McCarthy. This 15th ranked points per game offense should improve with new head coach Matt Lafleur, providing a change of scenery and allowing Rodgers the autonomy he needs. The Packers will need to improve on a 22nd ranked points per game allowed defense in 2018, where defenses were shredding this team. This should be addressed with the drafting of possible defensive rookie of the year candidate in DE Rashan Gary out of Michigan. I like this team’s roster makeup and think they will do enough to compete in this tough NFC North division. Week 1 is where the rubber meets the road as the Packers travel to Soldier Field to play the Chicago Bears.
Week 1 at Chicago Bears
Although this will be an exciting kickoff to the season with new head coach Matt Lafleur calling the shots, I think this game smells trouble. Rodgers will still be trying to get used to his system and playing against the #3 ranked total yards allowed defense in 2018 in the Chicago Bears. I think the Bears keep this one close and win the game in a squeaker.
Week 2 vs Minnesota Vikings
The Minnesota Vikings have one of the best defenses in the league ranking 4th in total yards allowed in 2018, but this game is being played at Lambeau. Historically it has been difficult to beat Rodgers and company at home when he is healthy, and the Vikings have a better run defense than a pass defense. I think Aaron Rodgers will show why he is such a bad man and win this one at home.
Week 3 vs Denver Broncos
I am not buying the Joe Flacco hype, and although John Elway drafted Noah Fant out of Iowa to provide a target, the Broncos don’t have enough weapons to hang with Rodgers and the Packers.
Week 4 vs Philadelphia Eagles
This will be a tough matchup for this Packers defense as they face off against QB Carson Wentz and his high powered offense. I see this being a breakout season for Wentz and I think he is able to connect with WR Desean Jackson on a few occasions to win this game on the road. Give me the Eagles.
Week 5 at Dallas Cowboys
Dak Prescott is hard to beat at AT&T stadium, holing a 72.2 percentage completion rate. I don’t see this trend stopping here as the Packers are not very strong in their secondary, and this Cowboys defense will give Prescott ample opportunities to do his thing. Give me the Cowboys in this one.
Week 6 vs Detroit Lions
The Lions are a team that I am down on for this upcoming season. QB Matthew Stafford has little to no offensive weapons, and his offensive line is below average. This defense is built to support a lead and not force multiple turnovers to get back in it. As long as Aaron Rodgers is smart around DB Darius Slay this shouldn’t be a problem for the Pack.
Week 7 vs Oakland Raiders
Although Oakland signed one of the best WR in the league in Antonio Brown, the Raiders still have a turnover prone risk taking quarterback in Derek Carr and one of the worst defenses in the league. The last place points per game allowed defense in 2018 will be unable to stop Rodgers enough to keep this one relevant. Give me the Packers.
Week 8 at Kansas City Chiefs
Every team in the league usually has a letdown game during the season, and this is mine for the Chiefs. This will be a true square off against two great quarterbacks with Mahomes and Rodgers, I just see Rodgers returning to the MVP of old and winning this one against the atrocious Chiefs defense.
Week 9 at Los Angeles Chargers
I see the Packers continuing their hot streak going into this one against the high flying Los Angeles Chargers. The Chargers were road warriors last year and were better on the road than at home. I see this continuing and I see the Packers stealing one on a last second field goal.
Week 10 vs Carolina Panthers
This will be a hard matchup for the Packers in this one as the Panthers have a well above average defense led by LB Luke Kuechly. QB Cam Newton also should be healthy this upcoming season and use swiss army knife Christian McCaffrey to his advantage. I see the Panthers winning this one on the road.
Week 11 Bye
Week 12 at San Francisco 49ers
The San Francisco 49ers should be ready to roll this upcoming season with QB Jimmy Garoppolo healthy and a franchise TE in George Kittle. I just see Aaron Rodgers being able to exploit this aging secondary down the field with his young WR’s and isolate Richard Sherman. Give me the Packers.
Week 13 at New York Giants
If there is a team that is in major trouble this upcoming season it is the Giants. The Giants have gotten worse on both sides of the ball in losing franchise players in Landon Collins and Odell Beckham Jr. They also invested their first round draft pick in a backup QB who might not even see the field this upcoming season. Give me the Packers.
Week 14 vs Washington Redskins
More than likely QB Dwayne Haskins will be under center in this one and would have replaced one of the worst turnover prone quarterbacks in Case Keenum, but a first trip to Lambeau smells like trouble to me. I think the moment gets to this young gun and allows Rodgers to take advantage and keep his team relevant in the playoff picture.
Week 15 vs Chicago Bears
I see this as a repeat of their week 1 matchup as the Bears win again.
Week 16 at Minnesota Vikings
Kirk Cousins and this Viking defense will take care of business this time at home with the playoffs on the line. Give me the Vikings.
Week 17 at Detroit Lions
The Lions will have nothing to play for at this point and QB Matthew Stafford might not even be on the field. Give me the Packers in a fight for the playoffs.
This line is right on the money as the Packers are playing in a loaded division with the Bears and Vikings. I just see too many winnable games against below average opponents to take the under. Give me the over.