NFL Pick, Prediction and Odds: 2019 Win Total For The Miami Dolphins
Wednesday, July 31, 2019 at 8:08 PM (Hard Rock Stadium)
Over/Under 5 wins
The Miami Dolphins are in flux as the organization seems to be in full rebuild mode following a (7-9) 2018 campaign. Trading veteran quarterback Ryan Tannehill to the Tennessee Titans and not moving up to draft a quarterback in the first round, should give you an idea of what this season will look like. Little to no offensive firepower was gained in the offseason, let alone the questionable signing of journeyman Ryan Fitzpatrick. In recent news, Josh Rosen was acquired via trade with the Arizona Cardinals as a possible alternative QB option for the upcoming season. On defense the Dolphins hope to improve under new Head Coach Brian Flores, but will struggle with key departures. Trading DE Robert Quinn in the offseason as well as other questionable moves show that there is a long term plan in place, not likely producing a winner anytime soon. Let’s take a look at the schedule.
Week 1 vs Baltimore Ravens
In addition to going against the top ranked total yards allowed defense in 2018, the Dolphins will have to face off against speedster QB Lamar Jackson and his new weapons. The acquisition of Mark Ingram and draft pick WR Hollywood Brown will produce too much speed for the Dolphins to handle.
Week 2 New England Patriots
Although new coach Brian Flores has deep Patriot ties, it will be little to no use as the Patriots are too talented. The drafting of WR N’Keal Harry and the signing of free agent Ben Watson will be enough to cover the production lost from the retirement of TE Rob Gronkowsi. Coaching and talent will take over as Tom Brady and company take their first of two from the Dolphins on the season.
Week 3 at Dallas Cowboys
Dak Prescott takes over in this one, using a 72.2 percentage completion rate at AT&T stadium to provide multiple scoring drives to help support a dominating defense.
Week 4 at Los Angeles Chargers
Phillip Rivers, Melvin Gordon, and Keenan Allen prove too much to handle on the offensive side of the ball. Joey Bosa makes this one a nightmare for either Fitzpatrick or Rosen in a route.
Week 5 Bye
Week 6 vs Washington Redskins
This is a winnable game for the Dolphins as the Redskins have uncertainty at quarterback with turnover prone Case Keenum and rookie Dwayne Haskins. Unfortunate for the Dolphins, Washington will use Adrian Peterson as the bell cow he is to control the clock and allow the defense highlighted by Josh Norman, Jonathan Allen, and newly acquired Landon Collins, to take control.
Week 7 at Buffalo Bills
Buffalo returns the 2nd best yards allowed defense on the season, as well as returns QB Josh Allen, poised for a breakout season. Expect the Bills to shut down the Dolphins offense and win by a score.
Week 8 at Pittsburgh Steelers
The addition of linebacker Devin Bush, the potential Defensive Rookie of the Year, will help replace the production lost from linebacker Ryan Shazier. Big Ben and company will ride the defense and the Steel Curtain to a win.
Week 9 vs New York Jets
In a battle of non-playoff contenders, I see Rosen or Fitzpatrick to be able to showcase Davante Parker and Kenny Stills while allowing Kenyan Drake to get open in space. This game will be decided on whether Coach Flores will be able to control LeVeon Bell’s productivity, which I believe he will.
Week 10 at Indianapolis Colts
The Indianapolis Colts offense will be scary this upcoming season. Miami will not be able to slow down Andrew Luck, T.Y. Hilton, Pro Bowl TE Eric Ebron, and burner rookie WR Parris Campbell in a lopsided affair.
Week 11 vs Buffalo Bills
I see this as a repeat of their Week 7 matchup, Bills win.
Week 12 at Cleveland Browns
I am buying the Cleveland Browns hype for this upcoming season with the acquisition of Odell Beckham Jr. I see no way for the Dolphins to stop Baker Mayfield from finding Jarvis Landry, Odell, or versatile tight end David Njoku down the field.
Week 13 vs Philadelphia Eagles
2017 vintage Carson Wentz shows up in this one, finding newly acquired WR Desean Jackson for a pair of scores in a route.
Week 14 at New York Jets
Having seen the Dolphins once before on the season, New York Jets Head Coach Adam Gase sticks it to his old team at home, allowing Leveon Bell to get open in space and have a field day.
Week 15 at New York Giants
If there was a team in worse shape than the Dolphins for this upcoming season, it would be the one dimensional New York Giants. I see Daniel Jones taking over as the starting quarterback in this one, and Miami taking RB Saquon Barkley out of the game plan, resulting in multiple turnovers to lead the way.
Week 16 vs Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals are a question mark coming into this season with new Sean McVay disciple, Head Coach Zac Taylor, hoping to rejuvenate a lack luster offense. The problem is there are just too many question marks with turnover prone Quarterback Andy Dalton, and injury prone WR AJ Green. Give me the Dolphins at home.
Week 17 at New England
Tom and Bill take control, as New England takes the series sweep in a route.
This low total line might look appealing at first at 5, but the Dolphins are in full rebuild mode and play a relatively tough schedule. This is a no brainer to me, take the under.