NFL Pick, Prediction and Odds: 2019 Win Total For The New York Jets
Wednesday, July 31, 2019 at 8:32 PM (MetLife Stadium)
Over/Under 7.5 Wins
The New York Jets are looking to flip the script on a (4-12) 2018 season. New Coach Adam Gase hopes to bring in a new offensive philosophy to help young franchise quarterback Sam Darnold. The Jets signing of free agents Leveon Bell and Jamison Crowder should improve Darnold’s 57.7% completion rate in 2018 and 77.6 QB rating. To improve the defense, a number of moves were made by GM Mike Macaggnan. 4 time pro bowler CJ Mosley was acquired as well as drafting DT Quinnen Williams out of Alabama. New Defensive Coordinator Greg Williams should be able to use these weapons to improve the 28th ranked points per game defense in 2018, which allowed 27.6 ppg. Week 1 is where the revamped Jets start the season at home, hosting the Buffalo Bills.
Week 1 vs Buffalo Bills
Although this will be an exciting kickoff to the season against young franchise quarterback Josh Allen, I see the talent of newly acquired free agent Leveon Bell shine in this one. The Bills offense puts together a few scoring drives but is unable to get after Sam Darnold and cover versatile Leveon Bell.
Week 2 vs Cleveland Browns
Baker Mayfield was wonderful as a rookie and with the addition of Odell Beckham Jr to pair with Jarvis Landry; the Browns offense will be hard to stop. I see the Browns building on their week 1 win against the Titans with a win on the road.
Week 3 at New England Patriots
New England has owned the Jets since the Belichick/Brady era began. As long as those two are on the sidelines I am not picking against them.
Week 4 Bye
Week 5 at Philadelphia Eagles
If Carson Wentz returns to the Carson Wentz of 2017, I see the addition of Desean Jackson as a deep target making a combination the Jets will not be able to contain.
Week 6 vs Dallas Cowboys
Dak Prescott outduels Sam Darnold in this one and the Cowboys defense is able to stymy the Jets offense to a low scoring win.
Week 7 vs New England Patriots
I see this outcome being the same as week 3. Bill and Tom dominate for a Pats win.
Week 8 at Jacksonville Jaguars
Although the Jaguars have upgraded at the QB position with Nick Foles, I see the Jets offense being able to hold their own on defense. The loss of leading tackler and captain Telvin Smith, whom recently announced he was not going to play this year, looms large is this one. Jets win on the road.
Week 9 at Miami Dolphins
Although Miami is in rebuild mode, I see the Dolphins offense being able to get RB Kenyan Drake in space and hit Davante Parker and Kenny Stills down the field for a pair of scores. Newly extended CB Xavien Howard proves his worth as he shuts down the Jets offense.
Week 10 vs New York Giants
The Giants have had the most questionable offseason of my recent memory. They traded their top WR to the Cleveland Browns while doing nothing to help stabilize one of the worst offenses in the league, as well as lose their top defensive player in Landon Collins. The Jets are the more talented team and should win.
Week 11 at Washington Redskins
I see RB Adrian Peterson getting the majority of the workload in this one while grinding out the clock, keeping the Jets offense on the sidelines. CB Josh Norman and Safety Landon Collins get a pair of turnovers in the win.
Week 12 vs Oakland Raiders
The Oakland Raiders will be traveling on the road after the end of a 3 game home stretch. I see the Jets defense being able to control Antonio Brown and get Leveon Bell in space against a bad defense.
Week 13 at Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals are a question mark in this upcoming season as they have a new coach in Zac Taylor, the future of QB Andy Dalton is in question, and top target WR AJ Green is injury prone. I see the Jets defense being able to provide several stops on their way to a defensive gem.
Week 14 vs Miami Dolphins
Coach Adam Gase and company seek revenge on their loss earlier in the season and take care of business at home in a win.
Week 15 at Baltimore Ravens
Lamar Jackson, Mark Ingram, and first round draft pick WR Hollywood Brown provide too many weapons for the Jets defense to stop. It doesn’t hurt that the Jets are also facing the number 1 yards per game allowed defense in 2018.
Week 16 at Pittsburgh Steelers
With this game occurring towards the end of the season, I expect Big Ben and Crew to be in the thick of the playoff picture and take advantage of the Steel Curtain at home for a win.
Week 17 at Buffalo Bills
With nothing to play for in the final game of the season, I think effort will play a factor in this one. QB Josh Allen and RB LeSean McCoy provide the extra spark needed for a win in a quest for a playoff berth.
This line shocks me as the Jets play a relatively tough schedule by facing the Patriots twice, traveling to Philadelphia and Baltimore, and hosting the Cowboys and Steelers at home. Take the under.