NFL Pick, Prediction and Odds: 2019 Win Total For The Tennessee Titans
Wednesday, July 31, 2019 at 12:07 PM (Nissan Stadium)
Over/Under 8 wins
The Tennessee Titans look to build on a (9-7) season which ended on a 4 game win streak. QB Marcus Mariota is coming off of another subpar season as he ranked 19th in total QBR throwing for only 11 TD and 8 Int. The offense needs improvement as this offense ranked 26th in ppg, averaging 19.4. This defense was the bright spot under first year Head Coach Mike Vrabel. The defense ranked 8th in total defensive yards allowed and ranked 3rd in points allowed per game. This defense should be improved with the addition of Safety Kenny Vacarro from New Orleans, but if this offense doesn’t improve it will have been useless. The Titans season starts out rough as this team faces the Cleveland Browns on the road.
Week 1 at Cleveland Browns
This will be a tough task for this Titans team as the new look Browns look ready to contend for a deep playoff run. With the addition of WR Odell Beckham Jr., playmaking WB Baker Mayfield has a plethora of weapons at his disposal. Although this Titans defense is very good, they will have a hard time stopping the committee of Landry, Beckham, Njoku, and Chubb. Browns outscore the Titans in this one.
Week 2 vs Indianapolis Colts
An Andrew Luck led Colts team have owned the Tennessee Titans in the past and I do not see this changing anytime soon as both teams are headed in opposite directions. The Colts are going to be hard to stop on offense and Andrew Luck will outduel the questionable Marcus Mariota on the road for a win.
Week 3 at Jacksonville Jaguars
This will be a defensive game as you have the 9th and 11th ranked total defenses squaring off against one another. The difference in this game will be QB play, where the contract of QB Nick Foles will be warranted. This Jags team is able to get after Mariota and force a couple turnovers as Foles plays a clean game at home.
Week 4 at Atlanta Falcons
The Atlanta Falcons could be a sleeper NFC contender this upcoming season as they bolstered the protection of QB Matt Ryan in their drafting of two offensive linemen in the first round. These linemen will be able to protect Ryan enough for him to use his weapons WR Julio Jones and WR Calvin Ridley. I see the Falcons winning in a shootout.
Week 5 vs Buffalo Bills
This will be another tough matchup, where QB Marcus Mariota will have to prove his worth. In 2018 the Bills won this game 13-12, where I see a similar result. This Bills defense was the 2nd ranked total yards defense in 2018 and added dynamic DT Ed Oliver in the offseason. I see this defense suffocating this offense and QB Josh Allen able to produce enough for a narrow win.
Week 6 at Denver Broncos
This is a questionable Denver Broncos team coming into this year as they replaced the 29th worst QBR quarterback in Case Keenum with the below average Joe Flacco. I am not sold in Joe Flacco and believe that the Broncos will finish as one of the worst 5 teams in the league. The Titans are just a better team on both sides of the ball. Titans win a close one.
Week 7 vs Los Angeles Chargers
This will be another tough matchup for this Titans defense as they are facing a QB in Phillip Rivers that ranked 7th in total QBR in 2018 and had the 6th best points per game offense with 26.8 points per game. The Chargers have the better QB and better units on both sides of the ball that should get them a win on the road.
Week 8 vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
I agree that new Head Coach Bruce Arians is a major upgrade at over Dirk Koetter, but they still have the same turnover prone QB under center in Jameis Winston. I do not think Jameis will progress this upcoming season and I see him making a few mistakes down the stretch in a Titans win.
Week 9 at Carolina Panthers
I think this will be a bounce back season for Cam Newton in terms of pass production. He should be able to use RB Christian McCaffrey even more this upcoming season if that is even possible. This Panthers defense led by Luke Kuechly has a lot of heart and I think it will come up big as they make a few stops in crunch time to get a win at home.
Week 10 vs Kansas City Chiefs
I will keep this game simple. The Chiefs have too much of an explosive offense for this team to stop, and the Titans do not have an offense that can match in point production. Take the Chiefs.
Week 11 Bye
Week 12 vs Jacksonville Jaguars
The Titans will be able to have adjusted to QB Nick Foles under center in this one, and are able to grind out a win at home in front of the home crowd. QB Marcus Mariota will get out of the pocket and hit WR Cory Davis in stride for a win.
Week 13 at Indianapolis Colts
I see this as a repeat of their week 2 matchup as the Colts sweep the season series.
Week 14 at Oakland Raiders
In a matchup for draft positioning the Titans will travel to Oakland to play the Raiders. The Raiders are a team I do not believe in as they ranked last in allowing 29.2 points per game and had the 27th worst offense in points per game in 2018. The Raiders simply did not improve enough, even with the acquisition of Antonio Brown. The Titans get a win on the road.
Week 15 vs Houston Texans
QB Deshaun Watson comes into this season red hot off of a Pro Bowl season where he threw for 29 TD and 9 Int. This team also bodes the 3rd best points allowed per game defense with 19.8. I do not see the Titans able to move the ball on this defense as Watson is able to evade pressure for big plays down the field. Texans win.
Week 16 vs New Orleans Saints
The Saints are a team poised for a Super Bowl run as they return the 8th best total offense in total yards and the 3rd highest points per game in 31.5. I just see no way for the Titans to be able to match Drew Brees and company on offense as the Saints win on the road.
Week 17 at Houston Texans
I see this as a repeat of their week 15 matchup as the Texans sweep the season series.
This line seems high for a team that has such uncertainty at QB coming into the season and plays in a division that has the new look Jacksonville Jaguars, scary Indianapolis Colts, and the steady Houston Texans. Take the under.