Oakland Raiders at Indianapolis Colts - 9/29/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Indianapolis Colts vs. Oakland Raiders
Sunday, September 29, 2019 at 12:00 PM (Lucas Oil Stadium)
Indianapolis Colts -6.5 -- O/U: 45.5
TV: DAZN, CBS
The Oakland Raiders and the Indianapolis Colts meet in a week 4 NFL matchup from Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday afternoon.
The Oakland Raiders will look to rebound from back-to-back losses after falling to 1-2 on the year with a 34-14 loss to the Minnesota Vikings on the road in their last outing. Derek Carr has thrown for 699 yards, 4 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 73.5% passing while Josh Jacobs leads the Raiders in rushing with 228 rushing yards and a pair of touchdowns. Darren Waller leads Oakland in receiving with 26 catches on 29 targets for 267 receiving yards while Tyrell Williams has 14 grabs on 17 targets for 180 yards and 3 touchdowns this season. Defensively, Karl Joseph leads the Raiders with 18 total tackles including 12 solo tackles, while Vontaze Burfict and Tahir Whitehead each had 16 total tackles with Whitehead posting a team-high 13 solo tackles. Benson Mayowa leads Oakland with 3.5 sacks this season. As a team, Oakland is averaging 322 yards of total offense and 16 points per game while allowing 405 yards of total defense and 26 points per game against this season.
The Indianapolis Colts will look to build on back-to-back wins after a 27-24 win over Atlanta in their last outing. Jacoby Brissett has thrown for 646 yards, 7 touchdowns and an interception on 71.7% passing while Marlon Mack leads the Colts in rushing with 299 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns. T.Y Hilton leads the Colts with 20 catches on 25 targets with 195 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns this season. Defensively, Anthony Walker leads the Colts with 22 total tackles including 16 solo tackles while Denico Autry has 2.5 total tackles this season. As a team, Indianapolis is averaging 347.7 yards of total offense and 23.3 points per game while allowing 358.3 yards of total defense and 23.7 points per game against this season.
Oakland is 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 road games and 10-21-2 ATS in their last 33 games overall while the under is 5-0-1 in their last 6 games against the AFC. Indianapolis is 32-15-1 ATS in their last 48 games against a team with a losing record and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall while the under is 15-7 in their last 22 home games.
I firmly believe that week 1 was the best that we were going to see Oakland this season, and it’s not that there isn’t talent there, it’s just that the Raiders just can’t seem to put it all together and I’m personally not a fan of Derek Carr as a starting QB in the NFL. I really like what the Colts and Brissett have done so far this season, as Indianapolis has been competitive in each of their first three games and are looking like a team that has rolled right along with the loss of Andrew Luck and the emergence of Jacoby Brissett as the new main man under center for Indy. I think this is the Colts’ game to lose and should be able to win this game somewhat comfortably, so I’ll lay the points with the Colts in this spot.