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Oakland Raiders vs. Miami Dolphins 9/28/14 NFL Pick, Odds, Prediction

Miami Dolphins (1-2) at Oakland Raiders (0-3)
Date & Time Sunday September 28, 2014, 1:00 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Oakland Raiders +4.5 -- Over/Under: 40
TV Channel
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NFL | Miami Dolphins (1-2) at Oakland Raiders (0-3)

The Oakland Raiders and the Miami Dolphins face off on Sunday in London in a NFL battle between two struggling teams.

The Oakland Raiders are still looking for their first win of the season and while they have played respectably that hasn’t been good enough where it counts most, in the win-loss column. The Raiders have the worst offense in the NFL ranking dead last in points scored at 12.3 per game and last in yards at 254.3 per game. QB Derek Carr hasn’t been bad but he hasn’t been good completing 63 percent of his passes with three touchdowns and three interceptions. Darren McFadden is struggling carrying the load in the backfield for the Raiders averaging 3.3 yards per carry and catching seven passes while Maurice Jones-Drew hasn’t been a factor at all. James Jones is Oakland’s leading receiver with 15 catches and two touchdowns, Mychal Rivera has 10 catches, and Rod Streater has nine catches and a touchdown. The Raiders defense is one of the best against the pass but 31st against the run allowing a 14thranked 21.7 points per game. Tyvon Branch has 29 tackles to lead the Raiders defense, Charles Woodson has 21 tackles, and Miles Burris has 20 tackles. Oakland is minus three in the turnover department and have an average 10 minute deficit in time of possession which are areas they need to turn around if they hope to find success.

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The Miami Dolphins opened the season with a huge win over rival New England but since then it has been disappointing with back-to-back losses to Buffalo and Kansas City. He Dolphins offense has looked inept and the play calling has been a big part of it but the Dolphins are averaging a 24th ranked 19.3 points per game and a 22nd ranked 327.3 yards. The talk for the Dolphins this week centers around the possibility of benching QB Ryan Tannehill who has completed just 56.5 percent of his passes with four touchdowns and two interceptions while being sacked nine times. The Dolphins rushing attack hasn’t been bad as Knowshawn Moreno is injured but Lamar Miller is averaging 5.5 yards per carry and he has 10 catches out of the backfield. Mike Wallace has 17 receptions to lead the Miami receivers while Charles Clay has 12 catches and Brian Hartline has 10. The Dolphins dense has given up big numbers allowing a 29th ranked 27.7 points per game and a ninth ranked 324 yards. Jelani Jenkins leads the Miami defense with 35 tackles and Olivier Vernon and Cameron Wake have two sacks each. The Dolphins need some kind of spark as they aren’t creating turnovers.

Oakland is 2-6 against the spread against the AFC, 2-5 against the spread in their last seven games, and 1-5 against the spread following a loss. Miami is 1-4 against the spread in their last five games, 5-2 against the spread following a double-digit home loss, and 1-4 against the spread against the AFC. The underdog has covered the point spread in five of the last six meetings of these two.

I don’t see how Miami can be favored against anyone let alone by more than a field goal and I see the Raiders having a good chance to win this one outright so getting four and half points is way too good to pass up. 

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Oakland Raiders +4.5

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