Dallas Cowboys (12-4) at Green Bay Packers (12-4)
|Date & Time||Sunday January 11, 2015, 1:05 PM (EST)|
The Line: Green Bay Packers -6 -- Over/Under: 52.5
The Dallas Cowboys and Green Bay Packers play Sunday in the divisional playoffs at Lambeau Field.
The Dallas Cowboys are coming off an impressive comeback win over Detroit and hope to reach their first conference championship since 1995. The Cowboys offensive line is their biggest advantage, as they give Tony Romo tons of time to throw the ball and open up gaping running lanes for DeMarco Murray. In order for Dallas to pull off the upset, the offensive line must continue to be the best in the world. I also expect Dez Bryant to be a bigger factor in the offense after being targeted just three times against the Lions. The Cowboys are at their best when everybody offensively is bringing their A-game. Defensively, the Dallas Cowboys have to generate pressure on Aaron Rodgers in order to make a difference. Whether it’s Jeremy Mincey or Rolando McClain, somebody has to get the ball out of his hands and force quicker throws.
The Green Bay Packers have won seven of their last eight games and hope to return to their second conference championship in five years. It’s no secret that the Packers go as far as Rodgers and his receivers carry them. Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb have combined for more than 2,800 receiving yards and 25 touchdowns, giving the Packers one of the most explosive offenses. However, I expect Eddie Lacy to receive a ton of touches in this game to really soften up a Dallas defense that has been subpar at times. The Packers have scored at least 30 points in five of their last 10 games. Defensively, the Packers are going to show Romo many different looks and hope guys such as Clay Matthews, Julius Peppers and A.J. Hawk can make a play or two.
The Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 playoff road games. The Packers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 playoff games and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Green Bay and the home team is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
The Dallas Cowboys were my pick before the playoffs started to win the Super Bowl. I'm not sure I can back out now. Listen, we all know the Packers are the better overall football team, but the Cowboys are undefeated on the road and actually play their best away from home. The Cowboys have the offensive weapons to hang with the Packers, and they have a defense that gets timely stops. Call me crazy, but I like this Dallas team and think it will get the job done here.