Los Angeles Chargers (8-3) at Pittsburgh Steelers (7-3-1)
|Date & Time||Sunday December 2, 2018, 8:20 PM (EST)|
The Line: Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 -- Over/Under: 51.5
The Los Angeles Chargers and Pittsburgh Steelers meet Sunday in NFL action at Heinz Field.
The Los Angeles Chargers look to win at least nine games for the fourth time in the last six years while inching closer to a top seed in the AFC. The Los Angeles Chargers have won four straight non-home games. Philip Rivers is completing 69.5 percent of his passes for 3,119 yards, 26 touchdowns and six interceptions. Rivers has two or more touchdown passes in each of his last 12 games. Keenan Allen and Tyrell Williams have combined for 1,367 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while Melvin Gordon has 44 receptions. The Los Angeles Chargers ground game is averaging 128.8 yards per contest, and Gordon leads the way with 802 yards and nine touchdowns. Defensively, Los Angeles is allowing 19.9 points and 334.8 yards per game. Derwin James leads the Los Angeles Chargers with 78 tackles, Melvin Ingram has 5.5 sacks and Desmond King has three interceptions.
The Pittsburgh Steelers look to avoid back-to-back losses for the first time this season to keep their lead in the AFC North. The Pittsburgh Steelers have won three straight home games. Ben Roethlisberger is completing 66.1 percent of his passes for 3,664 yards, 24 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Roethlisberger has two or more touchdown passes in 16 of his last 20 games. JuJu Smith-Schuster and Antonio Brown have combined for 1,929 receiving yards and 15 touchdowns while James Conner has 49 receptions. The Pittsburgh Steelers ground game is averaging 95.6 yards per contest, and Conner leads the way with 849 yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, Pittsburgh is allowing 22.6 points and 325.1 yards per game. Jon Bostic leads the Pittsburgh Steelers with 66 tackles, T.J. Watt has 10 sacks and Cameron Sutton has one interception.
The Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in December and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Steelers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games and 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Chargers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Pittsburgh and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 meetings. The over is 6-1 in Steelers last 7 home games. The under is 4-1 in Chargers last 5 games overall.
The Los Angeles Chargers have lost just once since October and have possibly the most underrated defense in the league, which includes allowing 19 or less points in six of their last seven games. The Pittsburgh Steelers are coming off a heartbreaking loss to the Denver Broncos and four of their seven wins this season have been decided by seven or less points. The Los Angeles Chargers are 3-5-1 ATS in their last nine games when an underdog of at least three points. The Pittsburgh Steelers are 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 games when a favorite of at least three points. This is one of the tougher NFL games I've had to predict in a while, as you could make a strong case for either side. The problem is we're getting a free field goal plus a hook with a really, rally good Chargers club. In a game that feels evenly matched matched, it's probably best to take the free points based on the value. The Steelers have been shaky at best the last two weeks and have been awful ATS at home recently. The Chargers have played some of their best ball on the road and are more than capable of winning this game outright. So, give me the points.