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SF 49ers vs. KC Chiefs 10/5/14 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Kansas City Chiefs (2-2) at San Francisco 49ers (2-2)
Date & Time Sunday October 5, 2014, 4:25 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: San Francisco 49ers -6.5 -- Over/Under: 44.5
TV Channel
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NFL | Kansas City Chiefs (2-2) at San Francisco 49ers (2-2)

The San Francisco 49ers and the Kansas City Chiefs face off on Sunday at Levi’s Stadium for an NFL matchup.

The San Francisco 49ers opened the season with a win over the Dallas Cowboys and then after losing their next two games they got back to winning by beating the Eagles on Sunday. The 49ers offense has struggled at times as they are averaging just 22 points per game and 350.8 yards both of which rank them in the bottom third in the NFL this season. SF QB Colin Kaepernick has completed 66.9 percent of his passes with six touchdowns and four interceptions and he has also rushed for 187 yards but he has been sacked 10 times. Frank Gore is getting the bulk of the carries for the Niners averaging 4.4 yards per carry and Carlos Hyde has also been effective averaging 3.7 yards per carry. The 49ers are loaded at receiver and Michael Crabtree has 24 catches, Anquan Boldin has 21, and Steve Johnson has 14. The 49ers defense has once again been their string suit though they are allowing 22.2 points per game their 287.2 yards against is second best in the NFL as they have five interceptions, five sacks, and four fumble recoveries. Patrick Willis is still the leader of the San Francisco defense with 23 tackles, Justin Smith has three sacks, and Perrish Cox has two interceptions though this unit is clearly missing NaVorro Bowman and Aldon Smith. San Francisco is plus four in turnover ratio that has made up for the sloppy and unacceptable play at QB.

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The Kansas City Chiefs are at 2-2 for the season after losing their first two games then winning their last two both in convincing fashion. The K.C. offense is averaging 25.5 points and 352.5 yards per game so far but has been improving each week. Chiefs’ QB Alex Smith has played within himself completing 65.6 percent of his passes with seven touchdowns and three interceptions while rushing for another 103 yards. Jamaal Charles has been banged up but he is coming off of a three touchdown game on Monday Night against the Patriots but Knile Davis is averaging 4.5 yards per carry with three rushing touchdowns. Travis Kelce leads Kansas City in receiving with 18 catches and two touchdowns, Donnie Avery has 14 catches, and Dwayne Bowe has 11 catches. The Chiefs defense is allowing just 19.8 points and 338 yards per game two interceptions, four fumble recoveries, and 12 sacks. Josh Mauga has 26 tackles, Justin Houston has five sacks, and Tamba Hali has three sacks. Kansas City seems to have found their gear and are playing their best football right now.

San Francisco is 1-5 against the spread following a game that they covered the point spread and 5-0 against the spread in October games. Kansas City is 5-1 against the spread in their last six road games and 4-10 against the spread playing in a Sunday game following a Monday Night game. The underdog has covered the point spread in five of the last six meetings of these two teams.

The line here simply looks to be too big and while I don’t like the idea of the road trip following a Monday Night game getting too make points makes the Chiefs the play here. 

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Kansas City Chiefs +6.5

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