Super Bowl 53 MVP Pick, Odds, and Prediction 2/3/19
Los Angeles Rams vs. New England Patriots
Sunday, February 3, 2019 at 3:00 PM (Mercedes-Benz Stadium)
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Besides betting the Super Bowl game itself, there’s a million other bets you can make on the side in hopes of maximizing your profit in the last NFL game of the season. One of those things is predicting who wins Super Bowl MVP. The odds are out and there’s plenty of options to choose from.
Here are five players who are intriguing betting options for Super Bowl MVP between the Los Angeles Rams and New England Patriots.
Tom Brady/Jared Goff - Let’s get these two guys out of the way early. The likelihood of Tom Brady or Jared Goff winning Super Bowl MVP is quite high when you consider nine of the last 12 winners have been quarterbacks. These two guys are the faces of their franchise and get majority of the credit when their team wins. If you’re looking for the safe bet and drastically higher probability of an actual return, Brady at -110 or Goff at +200 are good places to start. Since 2010, there’s only been two years when a quarterback didn’t win Super Bowl MVP.
Rob Gronkowski - One of the more bizarre betting options for Super Bowl MVP is Rob Gronkowski at +5000 odds. The best player at his position, a touchdown and big catch machine is pretty much an afterthought in the betting market. Gronkowski is still Brady’s favorite target and has 16 career games with at least two touchdown receptions. Last week, Gronkowski had 11 targets and made a tough catch in the final minutes to help the Patriots defeat the Kansas City Chiefs. Those 11 targets were the most Gronkowski has seen all season. If Gronk gets going and has a big game with a clutch catch or two, he could become the first tight end to win this award.
Aaron Donald - Aaron Donald hasn’t had a sack in the playoffs yet, but he’s still head and shoulders the best defensive lineman in the game currently and arguably the best defensive player regardless of position. If the Rams are going to beat the Patriots, Donald has to pressure Brady and force some mistakes. We’ve seen Donald takeover games throughout his career, as he has seven games this season alone with seven sacks and is no stranger to the forced fumble. If Donald has the game he’s capable of having, he could cash a nice ticket at +1600 odds. Donald would also join Harvey Martin, Randy White and Richard Dent as the only defensive linemen to win Super Bowl MVP.
Marcus Peters - Larry Brown is the only cornerback to win Super Bowl MVP, as he did so for the Dallas Cowboys in 1996, a game in which he had two interceptions. Marcus Peters is a ballhawking defensive back with big play ability and a knack for the football. In fact, in four seasons, Peters has four defensive touchdowns, five forced fumbles and 22 interceptions. If Peters makes a play that changes the game or can produce a pick six in the fourth quarter, he’s your Super Bowl MVP. I really like the value of Peters and the +8000 odds.
Todd Gurley - Todd Gurley carried the ball just four times against the New Orleans Saints and there’s reports that his knee may still be bothering him. Since Thanksgiving, Gurley has just two games where he rushed for over 100 yards. With that said, the Rams star running back has two weeks to get right and is going up against a New England defense that allowed 4.9 yards per rush, which was tied with Arizona, Atlanta and Seattle for the bottom of the league. Running backs have also won seven Super Bowl MVPS, which is the second most per position behind quarterbacks. However, Terrell Davis in 1998 is the last running back to take home the hardware. Gurley and +1600 odds is still worth consideration, especially if reports start leaking that the knee is making progress.