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Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys - 12/23/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-9) at Dallas Cowboys (8-6)
Date & Time Sunday December 23, 2018, 1:00 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: Dallas Cowboys -7 -- Over/Under: 48
TV Channel
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Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Dallas Cowboys meet Sunday in NFL action at AT&T Stadium.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers look to play spoiler at this point after losing six of their last eight games. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have lost six straight road games. Jameis Winston is completing 63.7 percent of his passes for 2,311 yards, 14 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. Winston and Ryan Fitzpatrick and have combined for 37 touchdown passes and 25 interceptions this season. Mike Evans and DeSean Jackson have combined for 2,078 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while Chris Godwin has 50 receptions. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ground game is averaging 97.7 yards per contest, and Peyton Barber leads the way with 762 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Tampa Bay is allowing 28.8 points and 386.6 yards per game. Lavonte David leads the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with 105 tackles, Jason Pierre-Paul has 11.5 sacks and Andrew Adams has three interceptions.

The Dallas Cowboys look to stay hot after winning five of their last six games. The Dallas Cowboys have won their last three home games. Dak Prescott is completing 67.6 percent of his passes for 3,337 yards, 17 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Prescott has one or less touchdown passes in 12 of his last 17 games. Amari Cooper and Ezekiel Elliott have combined for 1,217 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while Cole Beasley has 54 receptions. The Dallas Cowboys ground game is averaging 130.9 yards per contest, and Elliott leads the way with 1,349 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, Dallas is allowing 18.9 points and 313.4 yards per game. Leighton Vander Esch leads the Dallas Cowboys with 116 tackles, DeMarcus Lawrence has 8.5 sacks and Xavier Woods has two interceptions.

The Buccaneers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in December and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The under is 16-7 in Cowboys last 23 games overall. The under is 4-0 in Buccaneers last 4 games overall.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers continue to pile up losses and find creative ways to lose, but five of their nine losses this season have been decided by eight or less points. The Dallas Cowboys are coming off a beatdown loss to the Indianapolis Colts, and they're outscoring teams by an average of 5.6 points during their three-game home winning streak. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered five of their last eight games when an underdog of at least seven points. The Dallas Cowboys have covered four of their last five games when a favorite of at least seven points. The Cowboys are much better at home than they are on the road, but the numbers indicate there's value with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the free touchdown. The Bucs have been in a ton of close games this season and would have a better record if it weren't for the turnovers. The Dallas Cowboys don't blow many teams out and actually have just one double-digit victory this season. Give me the points.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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