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Tampa Bay vs. New Orleans - 12/28/14 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New Orleans Saints (6-9) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-13)
Date & Time Sunday December 28, 2014, 1:00 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +4 -- Over/Under: 47
TV Channel
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NFL | New Orleans Saints (6-9) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-13)

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the New Orleans Saints close of out their 2014 NFL seasons with a meaningless week 17 game.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have a chance to cement the top pick in the NFL draft with a loss to the Saints but regardless they have been one of the worst teams in the NFL this season. The Buccaneers offense is averaging 17.1 points and 292.8 yards per game led by QB Josh McCown who has completed 55.9 percent of his passes with 10 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. Doug Martin has been the Bucs primary ball carrier but he has just 386 yards and two touchdowns and Vincent Jackson has 69 catches and Mike Evans has 63 catches and 11 touchdowns to lead the Tampa Bay receivers. Defensively the Buccaneers allow 25.8 points and 371 yards per game and they are minus 10 in turnover ratio. Lavonte David has 141 tackles, Danny Lansanah has 79 tackles, and Gerald McCoy has 8.5 sacks. Tampa Bay looks like they have a lot of holes they will need to fill this offseason.

The New Orleans Saints were one of the most disappointing teams in NFL this season but still had a chance to make the playoffs but were blown out at home last week by the Falcons eliminating all hopes of the post season. The Saints offense averages 25.2 points and a NFL best 416.3 yards per game led by QB Drew Brees who has completed 69.6 percent of his passes for 32 touchdowns and 14 interceptions. Mark Ingram leads the Saints in rushing with 907 yards and eight touchdowns and Jimmy Graham is New Orleans’ top receiver with 79 catches and 10 touchdowns. The Saints defense allows 26.9 points and a 31st ranked 390.9 yards per game and they are minus 11 in turnovers. Curtis Lofton has 135 tackles, David Hawthorne has 76 tackles, and Junior Galette has 9.0 sacks. The Saints defense has let them down and the offense has turned the ball over far too often.

Tampa Bay is 2-5 against the spread against the NFC South, 5-11 against the spread against a team with a losing record, and 4-0 against the spread following a game that they didn’t cover the point spread. New Orleans is 4-0 against the spread in their last four road games, 2-5 against the spread in their last seven games, and 1-4 against the spread against the NFC South. The home team has covered the point spread in five of the last seven meetings of these two.

This is a lousy game and I am not going to be anywhere near it and with neither team playing next week, I won’t be watching or DVRing it any of those things but given a choice it is a lean to the Bucs with the points at home but like I said, I am staying clear. 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +4

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