Tennessee Titans at Atlanta Falcons - 9/29/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Tennessee Titans at Atlanta Falcons - 9/29/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by

Atlanta Falcons vs. Tennessee Titans

Sunday, September 29, 2019 at 12:00 PM (Mercedes-Benz Stadium )

The Line: Atlanta Falcons -4 -- Over/Under: 46

TV: CBS

The Tennessee Titans and Atlanta Falcons meet Sunday in NFL action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

The Tennessee Titans need a road victory here to get back to a .500 record. The Tennessee Titans have split their last six road games. Marcus Mariota is completing 60.9 percent of his passes for 706 yards, four touchdowns and zero interceptions. Mariota has two or more touchdown passes in five of his last 12 games. Delanie Walker and AJ Brown have combined for 287 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Adam Humphries has nine receptions. The Tennessee Titans ground game is averaging 112.7 yards per contest, and Derrick Henry leads the way with 210 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Tennessee is allowing 17.3 points and 308.7 yards per game. Jayon Brown leads the Tennessee Titans with 22 tackles, Cameron Wake has 2.5 sacks and Logan Ryan has two interceptions.

The Atlanta Falcons look for their second home win to get back to a .500 record. The Atlanta Falcons have split their last eight home games. Matt Ryan is completing 72.4 percent of his passes for 928 yards, eight touchdowns and six interceptions. Ryan has two or more touchdown passes in nine of his last 12 games. Julio Jones and Austin Hooper have combined for 422 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Calvin Ridley has 13 receptions. The Atlanta Falcons ground game is averaging 74.3 yards per contest, and Devonta Freeman leads the way with 129 yards on 35 carries. Defensively, Atlanta is allowing 25 points and 311.3 yards per game. De’Vondre Campbell leads the Atlanta Falcons with 21 tackles, Grady Jarrett has two sacks and Desmond Trufant has two interceptions.

The Titans are 16-35-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September, 2-7 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Titans are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings and the underdog is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The under is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 home games. The over is 5-2 in Titans last 7 games on grass.

The Tennessee Titans have split their last 12 games ATS as a road underdog. The Atlanta Falcons have failed to cover five of their last seven home games as a favorite. The Atlanta Falcons are one of the more banged up teams in the league right now and haven't fulfilled expectations yet, but they do play their best at home. The Tennessee Titans have done nothing offensively in their last two games and there's talks of Mariota possibly being benched if these issues continue. The Falcons must get going with a two-game road trip on deck. If the Falcons can't run away with this one at home, their season could be in serious trouble. I'll lay the chalk here. 

Randy’s Pick Atlanta Falcons -4

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.