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Texans vs. Jaguars - 12/28/14 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Jacksonville Jaguars (3-12) at Houston Texans (8-7)
Date & Time Sunday December 28, 2014, 1:00 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: Houston Texans -10 -- Over/Under: 40.5
TV Channel
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NFL | Jacksonville Jaguars (3-12) at Houston Texans (8-7)

The Houston Texans and the Jacksonville Jaguars face off on Sunday at Reliant Stadium in NFL Week 17 action.

The Houston Texans are 8-7 this season and while they need a ton of help there are still scenarios that can put them in the playoffs with a win. The Houston offense is averaging 23.3 points and 343.7 yards per game and they have turned to Case Keenum at QB who has completed 47.6 percent of his passes for 185 yards. Arian Foster has rushed for 1,223 yards and eight touchdowns and Andre Johnson has 75 receptions and DeAndre Hopkins has 74 catches and six touchdowns. The Texans defense has been solid allowing 19.3 points and 355.9 yards per game and they are plus 14 in turnover ratio. J.J. Watt has 72 tackles including 17.5 sacks, Kendrick Lewis has 82 tackles, and Johnathan Joseph and D.J. Swearinger each have 72 tackles. The Texans have turned things around this season but they will likely come up short of the post season regardless of the result here.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have had another miserable year that will land them a draft pick in the top five in the next NFL Draft. The Jaguars offense is averaging 15.5 points and 293.4 yards per game and they are led by QB Blake Bortles who has completed 60.2 percent of his passes with 11 touchdowns and 17 interceptions. The Jags have mixed it up in the backfield but recently we saw Storm Johnson and Jordan Todman contribute and Allen Hurns is Jacksonville’s top receiver with 49 catches and six touchdowns. The Jaguars have allowed 25.9 points and their opponents are averaging 371.6 yards per game and they are minus eight in turnover ratio. Johnathan Cyprien has 103 tackles, Telvin Smith has 88 tackles, Josh Evans has 84 tackles. The Jaguars know it is a building process but the expectations were higher than what they delivered.

Houston is 3-0-1 against the spread against the AFC, 5-1 against the spread against a team with a losing record, and 3-9-1 against the spread following a win. Jacksonville is 5-11-2 against the spread in their last 18 games, 2-5-1 against the spread in their last eight road games, and 3-11-1 against the spread following a win. The road team is 5-1-1 against the spread in the last seven meetings of these two.

I am not expecting an offensive show and my pick here is the under. 

Under 40.5

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