Well, if your Survivor Pool is anything like the one I am in, then a large majority took the Jets for granted last week and your roster has significantly dwindled. Here is a look at this week's top plays, pool breakers, and pool makers:
Is there really anywhere else to look this week than in Denver? The Broncos host the Jaguars in what is statistically the biggest mismatch in NFL history as the Broncos are four-touchdown favourites and for good reason. Denver is putting up video game numbers against anyone and everyone this season while the Jaguars should be off the field altogether and playing video games. The Broncos have so many weapons on both sides of the ball and with Chad Henne getting the call for the Jags in this spot I think this one might be put to bed by the end of the first quarter. The Jags will chip away in garbage time and could very well cover the ridiculous spread but that has no indication of even coming close to winning this game. Lock in with the Broncos and start scheming for next week as I think the Boise State Broncos could win against the Jags.
The Seahawks are coming off their first loss of the season in Indianapolis last weekend and will be heading home where they’re almost impossible to defeat and are playing against the Titans who looked sloppy against the Chiefs last weekend. Seattle is without question one of the best teams in the entire NFL and you can be sure that after a loss they’ll be looking to make a statement to the rest of the league that they’re not going away and to keep pace with the Saints who are the only undefeated team left in the NFC. The Titans are a decent team that has a good run game and a solid defense but without Jake Locker at the helm, who would be playing in a homecoming type of atmosphere as he is a graduate of Washington University, due to an injury and his replacement in Ryan Fitzpatrick isn’t exactly an upgrade. While the Titans could hang around for a bit in this contest and like the Jags could cover an inflated spread I just think this is a terrible spot for the Titans and I think Seattle comes out angry and hungry.
This is one of those games where I don’t understand the line whatsoever even though the Bills will be without their starting quarterback as EJ Manuel will be out for a couple weeks with a knee injury but I still don’t see how the Bengals arte favoured by more than a touchdown here. Not only are the Bills a very solid team at home, the Bengals are equally as awful away from home as we have seen so far this season. The Bengals are a tale of two teams and that applies to their play at home and on the road but also against inferior and superior opponents. Cincinnati always seems to play to the level of their competition and while Buffalo has played well at times they certainly aren’t in the same breath as some of the powers in the AFC. Buffalo will go to the ground early and often in this game and I think they keep the Bengals in check. I am not saying the Bills will win outright but I think they certainly cover the spread and I really don’t like Cincinnati in this spot at all. Stay away.
The Chiefs are undefeated and are riding a very strong defense, a spectacular running game, and an efficient quarterback to victory and now playing at home against the Raiders they’re favoured by more than a touchdown. Yes, the Chiefs are the better team in this contest and yes, they are undefeated but this is a divisional contest and the Raiders have played surprisingly well this season with their best game in years coming last week against the Chargers. Oakland has won their last six games at Arrowhead with much worse teams than this so clearly the crowd isn’t as bothersome as people would expect and while this game could very well be a blowout in favour of the red, white, and yellow, I think the smarter play is on the Raiders to keep things close. Kansas City looks like a playoff team and are at home here but I think there are better teams to use this week and even if you have used Denver, and Seattle already I think there are still a couple of better options on the board.
The Cowboys suffered a heartbreaker last week against the Broncos in Dallas as another costly Tony Romo interception led to the game winning field goal from Matt Prater which capped off one of the best football games we have seen in a long time. While Romo was the scapegoat once again he was spectacular against a very solid Broncos defense and now they catch their division rivals from Washington who despite winning their last two contests still have an abysmal defense. Washington is improving and could very well be tied for the division lead after this weekend, and the Cowboys are a very tough team to figure out as they usually flop in situations where they’re expected to win, I think they come back with a vengeance and rip the Skins apart. Dez Bryant and Demarco Murray are in line for massive performances in this one and I think the Cowboys defense will do enough to contain the Redskins and earn a victory for the Boys at Jerry’s Place.
The Bears host the Giants on Thursday Night Football and open up as seven point favourites as they look to rebound from a home loss to the Saints last weekend. The Giants meanwhile are playing very poor football and sit at 0-5 on the year and have basically packed their bags on this season. New York can’t get their running game going and as such the passing game has suffered immensely, and the Bears playing at home in prime time I expect their defense to be all over Manning and the seemingly permeable Giants offensive line. New York is bound to win some time and they do have talent still but with Cutler, Forte, Marshall, and Peppers on the other side I don’t see it happening here. Chicago is in a great spot here and I think they’re a solid pick if you have used a lot of the big horses already and want to take a risk this week.
Good luck in your pools. See you next week.