St. Louis Blues at Boston Bruins
|Date & Time||Wednesday June 12, 2019, 8:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: St. Louis Blues+150 / Boston Bruins -172 -- Over/Under: 5
The St. Louis Blues and Boston Bruins meet Wednesday in game seven of the NHL Stanley Cup Finals at the TD Garden.
The St. Louis Blues will win their first ever Stanley Cup with a victory here. The St. Louis Blues are averaging 2.8 goals per game and are scoring on 16.3 percent of their power play opportunities. Jaden Schwartz leads St. Louis with 12 goals, Alex Pietrangelo has 15 assists and Vladimir Tarasenko has 89 shots on goal. Defensively, the St. Louis Blues are allowing 2.7 goals per game and are killing 74.2 percent of their opponents power plays. Jordan Binnington has allowed 63 goals on 709 shots and Jake Allen has given up one goal on four shots. The St. Louis Blues have allowed three or less goals in 15 of their last 22 games.
The Boston Bruins will win their seventh Stanley Cup and first since 2010-11 with a victory here. The Boston Bruins are averaging 3.3 goals per game and are scoring on 33.8 percent of their power play opportunities. Patrice Bergeron leads Boston with nine goals, Torey Krug has 16 assists and David Pastrnak has 79 shots on goal. Defensively, the Boston Bruins are allowing two goals per game and are killing 88.4 percent of their opponents power plays. Tuukka Rask has given up 45 goals on 722 shots faced. The Boston Bruins have allowed three or less goals in 18 of their last 19 games.
The Blues are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog, 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road underdog and 39-19 in their last 58 overall. The Bruins are 23-9 in their last 32 games as a favorite, 5-2 in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite and 35-16 in their last 51 overall. The over is 5-2 in Blues last 7 overall. The over is 4-1 in Bruins last 5 home games. The Blues are 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in Boston. The favorite is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings. The home team is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
This is the first NHL Finals game seven since 2011 when the Boston Bruins beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-0 at the Rogers Arena. The home team has won seven of the last 10 game sevens overall and seven of the last nine game sevens have featured at least five goals. Home teams are 12-4 all-time in game seven of the Stanley Cup Finals, but they've been on the wrong side in the last two games.
While nerves are sure to play a factor for both sides, each team can lean on the experience of winning a game seven during these playoffs. The Boston Bruins should be favored off of home ice and experience, but I'm not sure about this steep price. The St. Louis Blues continue to be the more physical team in this series, and they had good looks in game six but just couldn't find the back of the net. You'll live with it. Binnington has also done a wonderful job of bouncing back from a poor performance, as he hasn't lost back-to-back games in over a month and each of the last five times he's allowed three or more goals, he's followed it up with two or less goals allowed. Remember game three when Binnington allowed five goals on 19 shots and 32 minutes, he followed it up with two goals given up on 23 shots. Blowout wins have also had little impact on the following game not just in this series but the playoffs in general. I'll take a shot with the big plus money and the Blues.