Boston Bruins vs. St. Louis Blues - 6/6/19 NHL - Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Boston Bruins vs. St. Louis Blues - 6/6/19 NHL - Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by

St. Louis Blues at Boston Bruins

Thursday, June 6, 2019 at 7:00 PM (TD Garden)

The Line: St. Louis Blues +145 / Boston Bruins -160 -- Over/Under: 5.5

TV: NBC

The St. Louis Blues and Boston Bruins meet Thursday in game five of the NHL Stanley Cup Finals at the TD Garden.

The St. Louis Blues look for back-to-back victories to take a 3-2 series lead and inch closer to their first title in franchise history. The St. Louis Blues are averaging 2.9 goals per game and are scoring on 17.3 percent of their power play opportunities. Jaden Schwartz leads St. Louis with 12 goals, Ryan O'Reilly has 13 assists and Vladimir Tarasenko has 82 shots on goal. Defensively, the St. Louis Blues are allowing 2.7 goals per game and are killing 73.7 percent of their opponents power plays. Jordan Binnington has allowed 58 goals on 639 shots and Jake Allen has given up one goal on four shots. The St. Louis Blues have allowed three or less goals in 14 of their last 20 games.

The Boston Bruins also look for a victory here to move one game within their seventh Stanley Cup. The Boston Bruins are averaging 3.4 goals per game and are scoring on 34.8 percent of their power play opportunities. Patrice Bergeron leads Boston with nine goals, Torey Krug has 14 assists and David Pastrnak has 69 shots on goal. Defensively, the Boston Bruins are allowing 2.1 goals per game and are killing 87.5 percent of their opponents power plays. Tuukka Rask has given up 42 goals on 672 shots faced. The Boston Bruins have allowed three or less goals in 16 of their last 17 games.

The Blues are 10-3 in their last 13 games as an underdog, 9-3 in their last 12 games as a road underdog and 8-3 in their last 11 road games. The Bruins are 58-24 in their last 82 home games, 55-24 in their last 79 games as a home favorite and 81-39 in their last 120 games as a favorite. The Blues are 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Boston and the favorite is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings. The over is 5-2-1 in Blues last 8 road games. The over is 4-1 in Bruins last 5 home games.

The St. Louis Blues are coming off an impressive game four victory and now go on the road where they've played their best hockey all postseason and hav won nine of their last 12 in the underdog role. The Boston Bruins haven't lost back-to-back games since game two and three against the Columbus Blue Jackets and their last four home games have been won by an average of two goals. I understand why the Bruins are favored, but the Blues have surprised us all playoffs in road games, and they've actually been the more physical team this series, leading in hits in all four games and putting together stretches of hockey where everybody is flying around and denying Boston everything. There's value with the plus money here and if the Blues bring that physical play from the start, they could steal another one in Boston. I'll side with the Blues.

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Randy’s Pick St. Louis Blues +145

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.