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Boston Bruins vs. Toronto Maple Leafs - 4/11/19 NHL - Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Toronto Maple Leafs at Boston Bruins
Date & Time Thursday April 11, 2019, 7:00 PM (EDT)
Location
TD Garden
Boston, Massachusetts
The Line
The Line: Toronto Maple Leafs +130 / Boston Bruins -159 -- Over/Under: 6
TV Channel
NBCSN
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Greg M. Cooper-USA TODAY Sports

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Boston Bruins meet Thursday in game one of the NHL first round at the TD Garden.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are in the playoffs for a third straight year but hope to make it out of the first round for the first time since 2012-13. The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.5 goals per game and are scoring on 21.8 percent of their power play opportunities. John Tavares leads Toronto with 47 goals, Mitch Marner has 68 assists and Morgan Rielly has 223 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing three goals per game and are killing 79.9 percent of their opponents power plays. Frederik Andersen has given up 162 goals on 1,958 shots faced and Garret Sparks has allowed 58 goals on 592 shots. The Toronto Maple Leafs have allowed three or more goals in 10 of their last 13 games.

The Boston Bruins are in the playoffs for a third straight year and hope to avoid a first round exit for the second time during this span. The Boston Bruins are averaging 3.1 goals per game and are scoring on 25.9 percent of their power play opportunities. David Pastrnak leads Boston with 38 goals, Brad Marchand has 64 assists and David Krejci has 139 shots on goal. Defensively, the Boston Bruins are allowing 2.6 goals per game and are killing 79.9 percent of their opponents power plays. Tuukka Rask has given up 109 goals on 1,245 shots faced and Jaroslav Halak has allowed 90 goals on 1,158 shots. The Boston Bruins have allowed three or more goals in six of their last eight games.

The Maple Leafs are 11-5 in their last 16 games playing on 3 or more days rest, 2-7 in their last 9 playoff games as an underdog and 1-4 in their last 5 games as a road underdog. The Bruins are 0-5 in their last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest, 73-35 in their last 108 games as a favorite and 1-4 in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite. The Maple Leafs are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Boston and 1-4 in the last 5 meetings. The under is 4-1 in Maple Leafs last 5 overall. The over is 7-2 in Bruins last 9 overall.

The Boston Bruins are the better team here and are much easier to trust with a more balanced attack and consistent playoff success. The Bruins have also won four of the last five meetings against the Maple Leafs and all of those wins were comfortable. The Toronto Maple Leafs finished the regular season i shaky form and have been getting lit up defensively. With that said, there's still something intriguing about getting the Maple Leafs as an underdog, one of the most explosive offensive teams in the league and are a club capable of doing serious damage when they get the puck moving. This pick may come back to bite me, but I'm going to take a shot with the juicy plus money. 

Pick:
Toronto Maple Leafs +130

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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