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Buffalo Sabres vs. Detroit Red Wings - 3/28/19 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Detroit Red Wings at Buffalo Sabres
Date & Time Thursday March 28, 2019, 7:00 PM (EDT)
Location
KeyBank Center
Buffalo, New York
The Line
The Line: Detroit Red Wings +122 / Buffalo Sabres -148 -- Over/Under: 5.5
TV Channel
MSGB, FSDT
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Timothy T. Ludwig-USA TODAY Sports

The Detroit Red Wings and Buffalo Sabres meet Thursday in NHL action at the KeyBank Center.

The Detroit Red Wings look for another win after winning four of their last five games. The Detroit Red Wings are averaging 2.7 goals per game and are scoring on 16.5 percent of their power play opportunities. Andreas Athanasiou leads Detroit with 29 goals, Dylan Larkin has 36 assists and Anthony Mantha has 173 shots on goal. Defensively, the Detroit Red Wings are allowing 3.3 goals per game and are killing 77.8 percent of their opponents power plays. Jimmy Howard has given up 139 goals on 1,517 shots faced and Jonathan Bernier has allowed 98 goals on 1,004 shots. The Detroit Red Wings have allowed three or less goals in seven of their last 10 games.

The Buffalo Sabres could also use a win after losing 11 of their last 12 games. The Buffalo Sabres are averaging 2.7 goals per game and are scoring on 18.2 percent of their power play opportunities. Jeff Skinner leads Buffalo with 37 goals, Jack Eichel has 49 assists and Sam Reinhart has 166 shots on goal. Defensively, the Buffalo Sabres are allowing 3.3 goals per game and are killing 80.7 percent of their opponents power plays. Carter Hutton has given up 132 goals on 1,445 shots faced and Linus Ullmark has allowed 99 goals on 1,052 shots. The Buffalo Sabres have allowed three or more goals in each of their last seven games.

The Red Wings are 26-59 in their last 85 games as an underdog, 15-37 in their last 52 games as a road underdog and 15-37 in their last 52 road games. The Sabres are 17-35 in their last 52 games playing on 1 days rest, 2-5 in their last 7 games as a home favorite and 0-5 in their last 5 games as a favorite. The Red Wings are 12-5 in the last 17 meetings in Buffalo and 2-7 in the last 9 meetings. The under is 4-1 in Red Wings last 5 overall. The under is 6-2-1 in Sabres last 9 overall.

Neither of these teams have anything to play for at this point in the season, and while I guess the Buffalo Sabres should be favored because of the home ice, I'm not laying juice with a team that's won just 10 games since New Years Eve. The Sabres have also been held to one or less goals scored in five of their last nine games. No, thanks. Yes, the Detroit Red Wings have issues of their own, but they've also produced some positive results these last couple of weeks and have done an improved job defensively. The value is on the Red Wings for once, as laying juice with the Sabres at this stage makes no sense to me.

Pick:
Detroit Red Wings +122

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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