Buffalo Sabres vs. Toronto Maple Leafs - 2/16/20 NHL Pick, Odds & Prediction

Buffalo Sabres vs. Toronto Maple Leafs - 2/16/20 NHL Pick, Odds & Prediction Photo by Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports

Toronto Maple Leafs at Buffalo Sabres

Sunday, February 16, 2020 at 7:00 PM (Keybank Center)

Toronto Maple Leafs at Buffalo Sabres

TV: MSGB

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Buffalo Sabres meet Sunday in NHL action at the KeyBank Center.

The Toronto Maple Leafs need a win after splitting their last eight games. The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.5 goals per game and are scoring on 24.8 percent of their power play opportunities. Auston Matthews leads Toronto with 41 goals, Mitch Marner has 44 assists and Morgan Rielly has 122 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 3.2 goals per game and are killing 77.8 percent of their opponents power plays. Frederik Andersen has given up 118 goals on 1,300 shots faced and Michael Hutchinson has allowed 48 goals on 421 shots. The Toronto Maple Leafs have allowed three or more goals in six of their last 11 games.

The Buffalo Sabres need a win after splitting their last 12 games. The Buffalo Sabres are averaging 2.8 goals per game and are scoring on 18.8 percent of their power play opportunities. Jack Eichel leads Buffalo with 32 goals, Rasmus Dahlin has 30 assists and Sam Reinhart has 122 shots on goal. Defensively, the Buffalo Sabres are allowing 3.1 goals per game and are killing 74.8 percent of their opponents power plays. Carter Hutton has given up 72 goals on 694 shots faced and Linus Ullmark has allowed 89 goals on 1,031 shots. The Buffalo Sabres have allowed three or less goals in 10 of their last 13 games.

The Maple Leafs are 15-36-2 in the last 53 meetings in Buffalo and 7-1 in the last 8 meetings. The home team is 37-14 in the last 51 meetings. The favorite is 38-17 in the last 55 meetings. The over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Buffalo and 18-7-3 in the last 28 meetings.

The home team has won six of the last eight meetings between the Maple Leafs and Sabres, but I'm looking at the over in this contest. Eight of the last 10 meetings between the Sabres and Maple Leafs have produced six or more goals, including the last three meetings averaging seven goals. There's fireworks whenever these teams meet. Give me the over.

Randy’s Pick over 5.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.