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Calgary Flames vs. Toronto Maple Leafs - 3/4/19 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Toronto Maple Leafs at Calgary Flames
Date & Time Monday March 4, 2019, 9:00 PM (EST)
Location
Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary, Alberta
The Line
The Line: Toronto Maple Leafs +112 / Calgary Flames -136 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
RSNW, TSN4
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John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Calgary Flames meet Monday in NHL action at the Scotiabank Saddledome.

The Toronto Maple Leafs look for a victory here after splitting their last eight games. The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.6 goals per game and are scoring on 22.6 percent of their power play opportunities. John Tavares leads Toronto with 37 goals, Mitch Marner has 55 assists and Morgan Rielly has 171 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 2.9 goals per game and are killing 80.1 percent of their opponents power plays. Frederik Andersen has given up 120 goals on 1,562 shots faced and Garret Sparks has allowed 41 goals on 419 shots. The Toronto Maple Leafs have allowed three or less goals in 10 of their last 12 games.

The Calgary Flames look to stay hot after winning seven of their last eight games. The Calgary Flames are averaging 3.6 goals per game and are scoring on 22.1 percent of their power play opportunities. Johnny Gaudreau leads Calgary with 30 goals, Mark Giordano has 47 assists and Sean Monahan has 187 shots on goal. Defensively, the Calgary Flames are allowing 2.8 goals per game and are killing 79.3 percent of their opponents power plays. David Rittich has given up 84 goals on 966 shots faced and Mike Smith has allowed 94 goals on 894 shots. The Calgary Flames have allowed three or less goals in seven of their last nine games.

The Maple Leafs are 4-0 in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest, 1-4 in their last 5 games as a road underdog and 1-4 in their last 5 games as an underdog. The Flames are 27-7 in their last 34 games playing on 1 days rest, 9-3 in their last 12 games as a home favorite and 26-10 in their last 36 games as a favorite. The over is 5-0 in Maple Leafs last 5 overall. The under is 4-0-2 in Flames last 6 overall. The Maple Leafs are 2-10 in the last 12 meetings in Calgary and the home team is 20-6 in the last 26 meetings.

The Toronto Maple Leafs have had a lot of success against the Flames recently, but the home team has won eight of the last 10 meetings overall and it's fair to say Calgary is playing better and more consistent hockey as of late. The Flames have also been money as a favorite over the last month and have the defense to slow down that Maple Leafs attack. I'll make the safe play here by backing the Flames on their home ice.

Pick:
Calgary Flames -136

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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