Toronto Maple Leafs (23-29-4) at Montreal Canadiens (35-15-4)
|Date & Time||Saturday February 14, 2015, 7:00 PM (EST)|
The Line: Montreal Canadiens -215 / Toronto Maple Leafs +193 --- Over/Under: 5.5
The Toronto Maple Leafs and Montreal Canadiens meet Saturday at the Bell Centre.
The Toronto Maple Leafs continue their monster losing stretch and end a two-game road trip. The Maple Leafs are averaging 2.8 goals per game and have scored 11 goals in their last three games. The Toronto Maple Leafs have three power play goals in their last four games and have lost three of their last four games when scoring at least three goals overall. Phil Kessel and James van Riemsdyk have combined 42 goals, Tyler Bozak has 21 assists and Nazem Kadri has 134 shots on goal. Defensively, the Maple Leafs are allowing 3.1 goals per game and haven’t allowed a power play goal in four straight games. Jonathan Bernier has allowed 98 goals on 1,143 shots faced and James Reimer has given up 66 goals on 696 shots.
The Montreal Canadiens look to keep things going with wins in eight of their last 11 games. The Canadiens are averaging 2.6 goals per game and have scored eight goals in their last three games. The Montreal Canadiens have three power play goals in their last four games and have won five of their last six games when scoring at least three goals overall. Max Pacioretty leads Montreal with 25 goals, Tomas Plekanec has 21 assists and P.K. Subban has 104 shots on goal. Defensively, the Canadiens are allowing 2.2 goals per game and haven’t allowed a power play goal in five straight games. Carey Price has allowed 86 goals on 1,280 shots faced and Dustin Tokarski has given up 31 goals on 359 shots.
The Maple Leafs are 16-46 in their last 62 road games and 0-6 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. The Canadiens are 5-2 in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest and 27-10 in their last 37 vs. Atlantic. The Maple Leafs are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings and the road team is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings.
I like the value of the Maple Leafs in this spot. Sure, Toronto has been horrible on the road for quite some time and the Canadiens have feasted on teams in the Atlantic. However, the road team has won 11 of the last 16 meetings between these two teams. That trend and the value of the plus money makes this play worth a shot .