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Colorado Avalanche vs. Calgary Flames - 4/17/19 NHL - Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Calgary Flames at Colorado Avalanche
Date & Time Wednesday April 17, 2019, 10:00 PM (EDT)
Location
Pepsi Center
Denver, CO
The Line
Colorado Avalanche -105 / Calgary Flames -116
TV Channel
CBC, TVA, NBCS, Altitude
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Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

The Calgary Flames and the Colorado Flames meet in game four of their Western Conference Quarterfinal series in NHL action from the Pepsi Center on Wednesday night.

The Calgary Flames will look for a key road win to regain home ice advantage after falling behind 2-1 in the series after a 6-2 loss to the Avalanche in game three on Monday.

Nathan MacKinnon opened the scoring with a pair of goals 5:08 apart to give Colorado a 2-0 lead and Cale Makar pushed the lead to 3-0 just 2:28 later. Matt Nieto helped stake Colorado a 4-0 lead with a short-handed goal early on in the 2nd before Sam Bennett finally got Calgary on the board with a power play goal just :43 later. Mikko Rantanen pushed the lead to 5-1 by the end of the 2nd period. Erik Johnson made it 6-1 just :54 into the 3rd period before T.J. Brodie pulled one back just :15 later, but that’s as close as Calgary would get as the Avs held on to complete the rout.

Philipp Grubauer got the win to improve to 2-1-0 in the series after stopping 27 of 29 shots faced in the win while Mike Smith ended up with the loss, falling to 1-2-0 after allowing all 6 goals on a whopping 56 shots faced in the defeat.

Calgary is 1-4 in their last 5 games overall and 3-13 in their last 16 games following a loss by 3 or more goals while the under is 8-3 in their last 11 road games. Colorado is 7-0 in their last 7 home games and 10-4 in their last 14 games overall while the under is 9-2 in their last 11 games following a win. Calgary is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings between these two teams and 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams in Colorado.

I’m tempted to side with Calgary as you have to think that the Flames are due for a bounce back performance here, especially with how the offense failed to show up in game three. However, the Flames lost six game by three or more goals in the regular season, and the next game in five of those six situations resulted in a loss. Sure, the playoffs are a different beast, but the Flames take a little while to get back on their feet after getting their butts kicked. Colorado was heads and shoulders the better team in game three, and are starting to look like a legitimate threat in this series if they weren’t already. I think Colorado and the low line is worth a look as a value play on Wednesday.

Pick:
Colorado Avalanche -105

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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