St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars
|Date & Time||Wednesday May 1, 2019, 9:30 PM (EDT)|
American Airlines Center
The Line: St. Louis Blues +105 / Dallas Stars -125 -- Over/Under: 5
The Nashville Predators and Dallas Stars meet Wednesday in game four of the NHL second round at the American Airlines Center.
The St. Louis Blues can take complete control of this series with a victory here and a 2-1 lead. The St. Louis Blues are averaging 2.7 goals per game and are scoring on 21.4 percent of their power play opportunities. Jaden Schwartz leads St. Louis with six goals, Alex Pietrangelo has seven assists and Vladimir Tarasenko has 34 shots on goal. Defensively, the St. Louis Blues are allowing 2.7 goals per game and are killing 77.3 percent of their opponents power plays. Jordan Binnington has allowed 24 goals on 267 shots. The St. Louis Blues have allowed three or less goals in seven of their last nine games.
The Dallas Stars need a victory here to get back into the series and tie things up at 2-2. The Dallas Stars are averaging three goals per game and are scoring on 20 percent of their power play opportunities. Alexander Radulov leads Dallas with five goals, John Klingberg has six assists and Tyler Seguin has 40 shots on goal. Defensively, the Dallas Stars are allowing 2.3 goals per game and are killing 95.8 percent of their opponents power plays. Ben Bishop has given up 21 goals on 306 shots faced. The Dallas Stars have allowed three or less goals in 26 of their last 28 games.
The Blues are 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog, 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road underdog and 20-7 in their last 27 games playing on 1 days rest. The Stars are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite, 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite and 5-2 in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest. The Blues are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Dallas and 3-7 in the last 10 meetings. The under is 3-1-1 in Blues last 5 overall. The under is 34-15-7 in Stars last 56 overall.
The Blues played their best game of the series in game three and have to be strongly considered for game four given their success in the underdog role. The St. Louis Blues have won five straight as a road underdog and 13 of their last 19 overall. The Dallas Stars have split their last 16 games as a home favorite. However, I'm siding with the over in this contest. Binnington has been shaky throughout the postseason and is due for a stinker, while the Blues have been able to find success against this Dallas defense the way many teams haven't. The Blues and Stars are also average six goals in this series and six goals in the last five meetings overall. The over is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings between the Blues and Stars and 5-3 in the Blues last eight road games. Give me the over.