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Pittsburgh Penguins vs. New York Islanders - 4/14/19 NHL - Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins
Date & Time Sunday April 14, 2019, 12:00 PM (EDT)
Location
PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
The Line
The Line: New York Islanders +148 / Pittsburgh Penguins -175 -- Over/Under: 5.5
TV Channel
NBC
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Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Islanders and Pittsburgh Penguins meet Sunday in game three of the NHL first round at the PPG Paints Arena.

The New York Islanders can all but put this series to bed with a victory here and taking a 3-0 lead. The New York Islanders are averaging 2.7 goals per game and are scoring on 25 percent of their power play opportunities. Jordan Eberle leads New York with two goals, Mathew Barzal has three assists and Anders Lee has eight shots on goal. Defensively, the New York Islanders are allowing 2.4 goals per game and are killing 80 percent of their opponents power plays. Robin Lehner has given up four goals on 77 shots faced. The New York Islanders have allowed three or less goals in each of their last six games.

The Pittsburgh Penguins need a victory here to improve their chances of advancing, cutting the deficit to 1-2. The Pittsburgh Penguins are averaging 3.3 goals per game and are scoring on 20 percent of their power play opportunities. Evgeni Malkin leads Pittsburgh with one goal, Phil Kessel has one assist and Patric Hornqvist has eight shots on goal. Defensively, the Pittsburgh Penguins are allowing 2.9 goals per game and are killing 75 percent of their opponents power plays. Matt Murray has given up seven goals on 67 shots faced. The Pittsburgh Penguins have allowed three or more goals in five of their last seven games.

The Islanders are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog, 4-1 in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest and 10-4 in their last 14 games as a road underdog. The Penguins are 5-2 in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest, 115-51 in their last 166 games as a home favorite and 1-4 in their last 5 games as a favorite. The Islanders are 17-35-3 in the last 55 meetings in Pittsburgh and 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. The under is 43-18-2 in Islanders last 63 overall. The under is 15-5-1 in Penguins last 21 overall.

The home team has won seven of the last 10 meetings between the Islanders and Penguins, and I refuse to believe a team as experienced and accomplished as the Penguins are going to go out like this. The New York Islanders have been money on the road lately and have thrived in the road underdog role the last couple of months, so the plus money here is very tempting. However, we're talking about a Penguins squad that has made the playoffs each of the last 13 years and is never an easy out. This is where the Penguins should look more like the Penguins, get back to physical play and grind out a victory, making this series a little more interesting. 

Pick:
Pittsburgh Penguins -175

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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