San Jose Sharks vs. Vegas Golden Knights - 4/23/19 NHL - Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Vegas Golden Knights at San Jose Sharks
Tuesday, April 23, 2019 at 9:00 PM (SAP Center)
The Line: Vegas Golden Knights -110 / San Jose Sharks -110 -- Over/Under: 5.5
The Vegas Golden Knights and San Jose Sharks meet Tuesday in game seven of the NHL first round at the SAP Center.
The Vegas Golden Knights look to advance out of the first round of the playoffs for the second time in as many seasons. The Vegas Golden Knights are averaging 3.5 goals per game and are scoring on 29.6 percent of their power play opportunities. Mark Stone leads Vegas with six goals, Paul Stastny has six assists and Reilly Smith has 25 shots on goal. Defensively, the Vegas Golden Knights are allowing three goals per game and are killing 84 percent of their opponents power plays. Marc-Andre Fleury has given up 16 goals on 182 shots faced. The Vegas Golden Knights have allowed three or more goals in 11 of their last 15 games.
The San Jose Sharks look to make it out of the first round for the third time in the last four years. The San Jose Sharks are averaging three goals per game and are scoring on 16 percent of their power play opportunities. Tomas Hertl leads San Jose with five goals, Erik Karlsson has seven assists and Logan Couture has 26 shots on goal. Defensively, the San Jose Sharks are allowing 3.5 goals per game and are killing 70.4 percent of their opponents power plays. Aaron Dell has given up five goals on 36 shots faced and Martin Jones has allowed 16 goals on 171 shots. The San Jose Sharks have allowed two or less goals in five of their last eight games.
The favorite is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. The home team is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in San Jose and 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
Home ice doesn't mean as much in NHL game sevens as it does in the NBA where the home team wins at an insane percentage. The last NHL game sevens have been split down the middle and the last two game sevens, the road team has won by a combined score of 9-1. With that said, the Sharks have all the momentum in this series, which includes back-to-back wins and a gritty overtime win on the road in game six. The Vegas Golden Knights are probably the better team and were actually the favorite to win the Stanley Cup heading into game five if you looked at the future odds. Still, in terms of where this series has gone since then and the price we're getting with the home team in a game seven, I feel the need to take the San Jose Sharks. If we were getting plus money with the Golden Knights, I would be on the other side. Instead it's a pick em.