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Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Washington Capitals - 5/13/18 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Washington Capitals (58-28-9) at Tampa Bay Lightning (62-26-5)
Date & Time Sunday May 13, 2018, 8:00 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Tampa Bay Lightning -210 / Washington Capitals +155 --- Over/Under:
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NHL | Washington Capitals (58-28-9) at Tampa Bay Lightning (62-26-5)
Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports

The Washington Capitals and Tampa Bay Lighting meet Sunday for game two of the NHL Eastern Conference Finals at the Amalie Arena.

The Washington Capitals have a chance to steal another road game and take a commanding 2-0 series lead before heading back home for game three. The Washington Capitals are averaging 3.1 goals per game and are scoring on 22.5 percent of their power play opportunities. Alex Ovechkin leads Washington with nine goals, Nicklas Backstrom has 10 assists and Evgeny Kuznetsov has 45 shots on goal. Defensively, the Washington Capitals are allowing 2.9 goals per game and are killing 80.3 percent of their opponents power plays. Braden Holtby has given up 25 goals on 332 shots faced and Philipp Grubauer has allowed eight goals on 49 shots. The Washington Capitals have allowed three or less goals in each of their last 11 games.

The Tampa Bay Lighting need a victory here to tie up this series at 1-1 in order to prevent falling in a massive hole early. The Tampa Bay Lighting are averaging 3.5 goals per game and are scoring on 23.9 percent of their power play opportunities. Nikita Kucherov leads Tampa Bay with six goals, Steven Stamkos has seven assists and Brayden Point has 23 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lighting are allowing 2.9 goals per game and are killing 76.1 percent of their opponents power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has given up 26 goals on 326 shots faced and Louis Domingue has allowed zero goals on seven shots. The Tampa Bay Lighting have allowed three or more goals in five of their last 10 games.

The Capitals are 5-1 in their last 6 Conference Finals games, 2-5 in their last 7 Sunday games and 21-7 in their last 28 overall. The Lightning are 8-1 in their last 9 Sunday games, 2-5 in their last 7 Conference Finals games and 38-15 in their last 53 home games. The Capitals are 36-17 in the last 53 meetings, the home team is 20-8 in the last 28 meetings and the over is 19-7-2 in the last 28 meetings.

In the game one victory, the Washington Capitals got 32 shots compared to just 21 by the Tampa Bay Lighting, and most of those shots and the two goals came in garbage time when they were selling out in hopes of getting back into the game late. The Lighting should be the favorite here based on it almost being a must-win, and the fact they're the deeper, better team from top to bottom. However, are we just going to ignore the fact that the Washington Capitals have won 14 of the last 19 meetings against the Lightning? The Capitals simply own the Lighting going back the last few years, and they've also won five of the last nine meetings against them when an underdog. I'm expecting a better peformance from the Lightning here and wouldn't be shocked if they get the victory. But based on how game one played out, the history between these clubs and the price, I'd be a fool to turn down the plus money. Basically, the same reasons I had Washington on Friday night. 

Washington Capitals +155

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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