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Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Tampa Bay Lightning - 3/11/19 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Tampa Bay Lightning at Toronto Maple Leafs
Date & Time Monday March 11, 2019, 8:00 PM (EDT)
Location
Scotiabank Arena
Toronto, Ontario
The Line
The Line: Tampa Bay Lightning -106 / Toronto Maple Leafs -114 -- Over/Under: 6.5
TV Channel
SunS, RSNO
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Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Toronto Maple Leafs meet Monday in NHL action at the Scotiabank Arena.

The Tampa Bay Lightning look to keep the puck rolling after winning 13 of their last 15 games. The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.8 goals per game and are scoring on 28.6 percent of their power play opportunities. Brayden Point leads Tampa Bay with 37 goals, Nikita Kucherov has 77 assists and Steven Stamkos has 199 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.6 goals per game and are killing 85.5 percent of their opponents power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has given up 97 goals on 1,405 shots faced and Louis Domingue has allowed 72 goals on 784 shots. The Tampa Bay Lightning have allowed three or less goals in 13 of their last 14 games.

The Toronto Maple Leafs look for a statement win after winning six of their last eight games. The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.6 goals per game and are scoring on 22.4 percent of their power play opportunities. John Tavares leads Toronto with 38 goals, Mitch Marner has 58 assists and Morgan Rielly has 180 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 2.9 goals per game and are killing 79.8 percent of their opponents power plays. Frederik Andersen has given up 127 goals on 1,663 shots faced and Garret Sparks has allowed 41 goals on 419 shots. The Toronto Maple Leafs have allowed three or less goals in 10 of their last 11 games.

The Lightning are 44-12 in their last 56 games playing on 1 days rest, 42-17 in their last 59 games following a win and 40-11 in their last 51 overall. The Maple Leafs are 5-1 in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest, 39-16 in their last 55 home games and 6-2 in their last 8 overall. The Lightning are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Toronto and 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. The under is 4-0-1 in Lightning last 5 overall. The over is 6-2 in Maple Leafs last 8 overall.

Getting the Tampa Bay Lightning at such a cheap price is tough to pass up given that they're the best team in hockey and the favorites to win the Stanley Cup in a couple of months. However, the Toronto Maple Leafs can go toe-to-toe with any team in this league when they're playing defense, something they've been able to do these past couple of weeks during this winning stretch. You also get the feeling these games mean a little more to a team such as the Maple Leafs, a club still proving they belong on that short list of title contenders. At home, I like the Maple Leafs to play with that edge and get the job done in a statement victory. 

Pick:
Toronto Maple Leafs -114

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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