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Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Tampa Bay Lightning - 4/4/19 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Tampa Bay Lightning at Toronto Maple Leafs
Date & Time Thursday April 4, 2019, 7:00 PM (EDT)
Location
Scotiabank Arena
Toronto, Ontario
The Line
The Line: Tampa Bay Lightning -109 / Toronto Maple Leafs -109 -- Over/Under: 6.5
TV Channel
SunS, TSN4
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Tom Szczerbowski-USA TODAY Sports

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Toronto Maple Leafs meet Thursday in NHL action at the Scotiabank Arena.

The Tampa Bay Lightning look for a victory after splitting their last six games. The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.9 goals per game and are scoring on 28.5 percent of their power play opportunities. Steven Stamkos leads Tampa Bay with 43 goals, Nikita Kucherov has 86 assists and Brayden Point has 189 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.7 goals per game and are killing 85.3 percent of their opponents power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has given up 127 goals on 1,683 shots faced and Louis Domingue has allowed 75 goals on 812 shots. The Tampa Bay Lightning have allowed three or more goals in six of their last seven games.

The Toronto Maple Leafs could also use a win after losing eight of their last 12 games. The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.6 goals per game and are scoring on 22.2 percent of their power play opportunities. John Tavares leads Toronto with 47 goals, Mitch Marner has 67 assists and Morgan Rielly has 218 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing three goals per game and are killing 80.8 percent of their opponents power plays. Frederik Andersen has given up 155 goals on 1,881 shots faced and Garret Sparks has allowed 58 goals on 592 shots. The Toronto Maple Leafs have allowed three or more goals in 10 of their last 14 games.

The Lightning are 42-10 in their last 52 games playing on 1 days rest, 39-16 in their last 55 road games and 46-16 in their last 62 vs. Atlantic. The Maple Leafs are 41-20 in their last 61 home games, 7-3 in their last 10 vs. Atlantic and 20-41 in their last 61 games as a home underdog. The Lightning are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Toronto and 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. The over is 6-1 in Lightning last 7 overall. The under is 6-2 in Maple Leafs last 8 overall.

The Tampa Bay Lightning have cooled off over the last week or so, but they're still the most consistent and profitable team in the league. The Toronto Maple Leafs are having a hard time finishing games all of a sudden and the defensive effort has really fallen off a cliff. The Lightning have also won six of the last eight meetings against the Maple Leafs. The Toronto Maple Leafs are great at home and have the offensive firepower to win a potential shootout, but the Lighting and the cheap price seems like the play based on their overall consistency and the recent history between these two clubs.

Pick:
Tampa Bay Lightning -109

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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