Netherlands (3-0) vs. Mexico (2-0-1)
|Date & Time||Sunday June 29, 2014, 12:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Netherlands +110
Mexico and the Netherlands will square off Sunday afternoon in the round of 16 in the 2014 World Cup.
Mexico survived by beating Croatia and Cameroon, while settling for a draw against Brazil. Goalie Guillermo Ochoa has really been the star of the tournament for Mexico, as he’s only allowed one goal in the first three matches and has made tremendous save after tremendous save. Mexico will need to continue its elite defense if it has a chance in this match, but it will also need to find some offensive spark that has been missing. Mexico has scored just one combined goal in its games against Brazil and Cameroon, and Oribe Peralta has been awfully quiet since scoring in Mexico’s opening round. Another passive Mexican offense will result in a loss.
The Netherlands has been one of the best teams thus far, sweeping Chile, Spain and Australia. In three matches, Netherlands has scored 10 goals and has a combined 33 shots on goal. Netherlands is a quick pace and fast striking team led by two terrific offensive players in Arjen Robben and Robin van Persie, a duo that has combined for six goals in this World Cup. Persie will be allowed to play in this match after sitting out the game against Chile. Netherlands up-and-down style is sure to put a lot of pressure on Mexico’s defense.
You’re going to see a lot of people picking Netherlands due to its overwhelming scoring ability. However, I tend to value defense and great goalkeeping in elimination matches. I’m going to back Mexico with the massive value.
While Mexico should be able to bother its opponent in this match, Netherlands over aggressiveness should also open up scoring chances for the Mexicans as well.
I like Mexico to win and the insane value is just a bonus.