France vs. Brazil - 6/23/19 Women's World Cup Pick, Odds, and Prediction
France vs. Brazil
Sunday, June 23, 2019 at 2:00 PM (Stade OcÃ©ane)
The Line: France -263 / Brazil +785 / Draw +375 -- Over/Under: 2.5
France and Brazil meet Sunday in FIFA Women's World Cup at Grand Stade du Havre.
France started the tournament off with a dominating 4-0 win over South Korea and was able to carryover that performance with wins over Norway and Nigeria. France is riding an eight-match winning streak and of course has the momentum of the home crowd, so this is a side that’s certainly feeling itself at the moment. Wendie Renard and Eugénie Le Sommer have combined for four of France’s seven goals, and France is coming off a dominating defensive effort where they held the Super Falcons to just two shot attempts. In fact, France hasn’t allowed a goal this tournament when you consider the goal in the Norway match was an own goal from Renard. With that being said, Les Bleues has given up one goal from their opponents in their last six matches. France looks to make the quarterfinals for a third straight World Cup.
Brazil is coming off a hard fought victory over Italy to advance out of the group stages, winning a physical battle that had a combined 28 penalties and was decided on a Marta penalty kick. Marta now has 17 World Cup goals, which is the most all-time for either men or women, and she’s also the first player to score in five different World Cups. Seleção has the pedigree to get the job done here and it certainly wouldn’t shock anybody, but this is also a team that’s lost 10 of its last 12 matches and gave up three answered goals out of nowhere against Australia. While the knockout stages are a different beast and provide a clean slate, it’s hard to have 100 percent confidence in this team at the moment given the shaky results. Brazil hopes to make the quarterfinals for the fifth time in the last six World Cups.
France beat Brazil 3-1 in a 2018 friendly, while these teams settled for 1-1 draws in the 2016 and 2003 World Cups.
Brazil is obviously no pushover and has several experienced players who have seen everything to the point they’ll have this team posted and ready to go. The problem is Brazil has been shaky at best these last several months and completely melted down against Australia. France is the best team Brazil will have faced this tournament up to this point and is also dealing with the home crowd, which will certainly come out in full force for this highly anticipated contest. While the odds suggest there being a big upset at some point in the round of 16, I’m not sure how anybody can bet against France in this spot. It’s easily been the more consistent team and is playing at home.
This is a more than reasonable price to back France to the quarters.