Germany vs. Sweden
|Date & Time||Saturday June 29, 2019, 12:30 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Germany -138 / Sweden +400 / Draw +250 -- Over/Under: 2.5
Germany and Sweden meet Saturday in the FIFA Women's World Cup Quarterfinals at Roazhon Park.
Germany is in the quarterfinals of the Women's World Cup for the eighth straight time and has won all four of its matches to get to this point. In fact, Germany is the only team left in the tournament that has yet to allow a goal. Germany is coming off a dominant 3-0 win over Nigeria where it controlled the ball for 60 percent of the match and allowed just one shot on goal. It’s been a balanced attack for Die Nationalelf, and Sara Däbritz has scored in each of their last three matches. With clean sheets in seven of its last nine matches overall, Germany has been the model of consistency and probably isn’t getting the credit it deserves up to this point. Of course, the France - USA match on Friday is probably stealing some of that shine. Germany will advance to the semifinals of the World Cup for the fifth time with a victory here.
Sweden are in the quarterfinals for the fifth time after beating Canada thanks to an early second half goal from Stina Blackstenius. It was the second straight match Sweden lost the possession percentage, but in its recent win, Blågult was far and away the more physical team and in control of the match from start to finish. The concern for Sweden is that its really struggled gaining traction offensively in its last two meetings against above-average competition, and that’s a bad sign moving forward given that the teams get better as we get deeper in the tournament. While the defense will show up and there’s plenty of experience on this squad, we need to see more promise on offense if Sweden is capable of pulling off the upset. Sweden will advance to the semifinals of the World Cup for the fourth time with a victory here.
Germany beat Sweden 2-1 in a friendly match back in April and is 4-0-1 in the last five meetings overall. Germany beat Sweden in the 2016 Olympics, 2014 World Cup and 2008 Olympics. A match in the 2017 UEFA Women's European Championship resulted in a 0-0 draw.
Sweden is a solid team and shouldn’t be overlooked despite back-to-back shaky performances, but there’s something to be said about not being able to match the energy of quality teams this tournament, and it doesn’t get any easier in this contest. Germany has yet to allow a goal this tournament and is so calculated offensively where good looks are going to take place. Unless Sweden can tap into another level, this is going to be a tough match. When you throw in the consistency Germany has played with all tournament and the one-sided history between these countries, this feels like a strong bet to back the Germans.
I like Germany to make the semifinals for the fifth time.