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Inter vs. Atalanta - 4/7/19 Serie A Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Atalanta at Inter
Date & Time Sunday April 7, 2019, 12:00 PM (EDT)
Giuseppe Meazza
Milano Italy
The Line
Over: 3.5 (+220) / Under: 3.5 (-278)
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Serie A

Inter is hosting Atalanta is round 31 of Italian Serie A.

Inter seems to be slowly coming out of their slump that they found themselves in for the last few weeks.  Inter got a nice win against Genoa 4 days ago and in that match Inter was dominant the whole game with 77% ball possession, seven shots on goal, six corner kicks, a staggering 93% of correct passes and 4 scored goals. Mauro Icardi was in the lineup after he was suspended by Inter a couple of months ago and had one assist and one scored goal. Inter was playing really good soccer with lots of short passes and created chances and have given themselves some breathing room in the standings in front of Milan and are one step closer to qualifying for Champions League. Icardi is Inter’s top goal scorer with 10 goals while Perisic added 4 assists. Martinez and De Vrij are only the only two injured players that will not be playing in this game. Inter’s home record this season is 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses and have conceded only 7 goals which makes them one of the best defensive home teams in Serie A. Inter is playing most of their plays through their fast wingers Perisic and Politano who then cross the ball into the box to Icardi and Nainggolan. Inter got some breathing room with their last win and are now only 7 points away from second place and with victory in this game Inter could ensure a Champions League spot.

Atalanta is playing in fantastic form and are holding the fifth spot in the standings with 51 points and are only 1 point away from the Champions League. In their last game against Bologna, Atalanta had 51% ball possession, 8 shots on goal, 82% of correct passes and won that game 4-1. Atalanta haven’t lost any of their last 6 games and with 64 scored goals this season are one of the best offensive teams in Serie A. Duvan Zapata is Atalanta’s top goal scorer with 20 goals while Ilicic added 11 goals. Toloi is listed as questionable while Zapata is suspended because of yellow cards which is massive blow for Atalanta as coach Gasperini will need to find a solution for his offense. As much as Atalanta is playing amazing offensive soccer with a lot of scored goals, they are not doing great on the defensive end where Atalanta has conceded 41 goals in 30 matches and at least one goal in last nine matches which makes them one of the worst defensive teams in Serie A. Atalanta has decent team with some young stars like Pasalic, Barrow, Piccoli and Mancini and with the game style they are demonstrating this season, Atalanta absolutely deserves to qualify for Champions League. 

Inter haven’t lost any of their last 4 home games against Atalanta and in this matchup there are usually a lot of goals scored. Because both teams are still fighting for Champions League and are in need of a win, I will pick something on goals here instead of giving the edge to either.

Over: 3.5 (+220)

Being from Croatia I was raised with soccer all around me and I loved to watch and play soccer ever since i was little kid, especially after Croatia won third place in 1998 World Cup in France. I watch and follow soccer on a daily basis and to get the oppurtunity to write about it is amazing. 

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